Application of DBN for Assessment of Railway Intelligent Signal System Reliability
Abstract
According to the variable structure characteristics of railway intelligent signal system (RISS) with different railway station scale, a new reliability assessment method based on Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBN) is studied. A comparison between DBN model and probabilistic model is studied to verify the accuracy and correctness of DBN model. Based on DBN model, the static gates analyzing results deliver a calculation with no error, while the spare gate analyzing results deliver a calculation with a tolerable error that leads to more strictly and credible calculations. Meanwhile, this paper analyzes reliability indexes of RISS with four different railway station scale. The results show that: when the railway station scale increases, the reliability of RISS decreases, which has little impact on the ranking of the components’ Birnbaum importance factor and diagnostic importance factor.
Keywords
Railway intelligent signal system Dynamic bayesian networks Reliability assessmentNotes
Acknowledgements
This work was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No. 61490705, National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No. 61603027 and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities under Grant 2015JBM012.
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