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Toward a Model of the Migration Cycle

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Americans Abroad

Abstract

The analysis of emigrants to Israel permits the development of a model, which suggests that first there are a set of demographic factors that affect absorption, such as being over 30, female, and married. Second, there are factors related to the experiences in the United States prior to emigration, such as involvement in Jewish organizations and the ability to speak Hebrew before coming to Israel. Third, there are variables that directly relate to the experience abroad, such as contacts with veteran settlers and satisfactions with various basic areas of daily life—jobs, housing, and social life in Israel. All of these experiences lead to the centrally most important variable affecting absorption—“confidence of remaining”—which explained 12% of the variance or half of all the variance we could explain (24%). The comparison of intended settlers and intended sojourners among American emigrants in Australia is strikingly similar to the comparison of actual stayers and leavers among American emigrants in Israel.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    The 37% leaving and 63% staying at least three years are weighted figures with the weighting process deriving from the disproportionality characteristics of the sample design of the Immigrant Absorption Survey. The end of the third panel year actually covers the years 1972–1974.

  2. 2.

    Derived from Dashefsky and Lazerwitz (1986, p. 50).

  3. 3.

    Derived from Dashefsky and Lazerwitz (1983, p. 268).

  4. 4.

    This technique is a variety of model II analysis of variance. It works by successive analysis of variance applications and requires a dependent variable that is either an interval scale or a 0/1 two-category split (a dummy variable). The independent variables can be either ordinal or nominal scale ones. When done, this method tells how much dependent variable variance can be explained by the dominating independent variables. Another advantage of AID is that it does not assume an additive model and can indicate the presence of any major variable interactions.

  5. 5.

    Adapted from Dashefsky and Lazerwitz (1983, pp. 268–270).

  6. 6.

    Scott and Scott (1989, p. 20) present a similar model as the guiding scheme for their research on the adaptation of Australian immigrants.

  7. 7.

    Adapted from Dashefsky and Lazerwitz (1986, pp. 51–59).

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Dashefsky, A., Woodrow-Lafield, K.A. (2020). Toward a Model of the Migration Cycle. In: Americans Abroad. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-024-1795-1_7

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-024-1795-1_7

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