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Seaport Climate Vulnerability Assessment at the Multi-port Scale: A Review of Approaches

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Abstract

In the face of climate change impacts projected over the coming century, seaport decision makers have the responsibility to manage risks for a diverse array of stakeholders and enhance seaport resilience against climate and weather impacts. At the single port scale, decision makers such as port managers may consider the uninterrupted functioning of their port the number one priority. But, at the multi-port (regional or national) scale, policy-makers will need to prioritize competing port climate-adaptation needs in order to maximize the efficiency of limited physical and financial resources and maximize the resilience of the marine transportation system as a whole. This chapter provides an overview of a variety of approaches that set out to quantify various aspects of seaport vulnerability. It begins with discussion of the importance of a “multi-port” approach to complement the single case study approach more commonly applied to port assessments. It then addresses the components of climate vulnerability assessments and provides examples of a variety of approaches. Finally, it concludes with recommendations for next steps.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    The marine transportation system, or MTS, consists of waterways, ports, and inter-modal land-side connections that allow the various modes of transportation to move people and goods to, from, and on the water. (MARAD 2016)

  2. 2.

    Climate impact, adaptation, and vulnerability (CIAV) decisions are choices, the results of which are expected to affect or be affected by the interactions of the changing climate with ecological, economic, and social systems.

  3. 3.

    Exposure refers to the nature and extent to which a system is subjected to a source of harm, taking no account of any defenses or other adaptation.

  4. 4.

    The Delphi method is an iterative, multistage response process designed to generate expert consensus.

  5. 5.

    United States Army Corps of Engineers.

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Correspondence to R. Duncan McIntosh .

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Duncan McIntosh, R., Becker, A. (2017). Seaport Climate Vulnerability Assessment at the Multi-port Scale: A Review of Approaches. In: Linkov, I., Palma-Oliveira, J. (eds) Resilience and Risk. NATO Science for Peace and Security Series C: Environmental Security. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-024-1123-2_7

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-024-1123-2_7

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