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Foresight and Forecast for Prevention, Mitigation and Recovering after Social, Technical and Environmental Disasters

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Abstract

The methodology for foresight and forecasting of social, technological and environmental disasters for prevention, mitigation and recovering after disaster situations is considered. The proposed approaches can be effectively applied both for a preliminary forecast of possible disasters and for modelling, preparation and evaluation of measures to prevent and control potential disasters. Methods also allow obtaining and improving of the control and managing in disasters, and provide decision-making support for disaster situations. Developed approaches are very flexible to use in systems of various nature, such as technical, environmental, social, human, economic and others. Developed tools allow reducing the time, financial and human resources for recovering from the effects of disasters in conditions under inaccuracy, incompleteness, fuzziness, untimeliness, noncredibility, and contradictoriness of information.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Institute for Applied System Analysis NTUU “KPI” 37, 35 building, Peremogy Avenue 37, Kyiv, 03056, Ukraine

    Natalya D. Pankratova, Peter I. Bidyuk, Yurij M. Selin, Illia O. Savchenko, Lyudmila Y. Malafeeva, Mykhailo P. Makukha & Volodymyr V. Savastiyanov

Authors
  1. Natalya D. Pankratova
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  2. Peter I. Bidyuk
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  3. Yurij M. Selin
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  4. Illia O. Savchenko
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  5. Lyudmila Y. Malafeeva
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  6. Mykhailo P. Makukha
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  7. Volodymyr V. Savastiyanov
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Natalya D. Pankratova .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Institute of Computer Science and ‘Gheorghe Asachi’ Technical University of Iasi, Iasi, Romania

    Horia-Nicolai Teodorescu

  2. Faculty of Industrial Engineering and Management, Samuel Neaman Institute for Advanced Studies,Technion – Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel

    Alan Kirschenbaum

  3. Institute of Mathematics and Computer Science of the Academy of Sciences of Moldova, Chisinau, Moldova

    Svetlana Cojocaru

  4. Department of Global Health and Populati, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA

    Claude Bruderlein

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Pankratova, N.D. et al. (2014). Foresight and Forecast for Prevention, Mitigation and Recovering after Social, Technical and Environmental Disasters. In: Teodorescu, HN., Kirschenbaum, A., Cojocaru, S., Bruderlein, C. (eds) Improving Disaster Resilience and Mitigation - IT Means and Tools. NATO Science for Peace and Security Series C: Environmental Security. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-9136-6_8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-9136-6_8

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht

  • Print ISBN: 978-94-017-9135-9

  • Online ISBN: 978-94-017-9136-6

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

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