Abstract
In Agrimonde 1, the quantitative assumptions on resource production in each region and the assumptions on resource consumption were established independently, in relation to past trends and to factors that the panel considered to be drivers for the future (Chaps. 5, 6 and 7). To obtain quantitative scenarios, it is therefore essential to check whether these assumptions are compatible with one another and under what conditions of trade between regions, and then, if necessary, to adjust the values of certain assumptions.
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Notes
- 1.
Apparent food availability is the calorie equivalent of the quantities of food available for the inhabitants of a region, calculated as follows: production + imports—exports +/-stock variations-animal feed-non-food uses-seed-waste after harvesting (Chap. 2). It includes waste after food reaches consumers (households or collective catering).
- 2.
- 3.
This figure denotes the animal feed needed in the OECD region to produce 60 Gkcal/day of animal products.
- 4.
In the calculations of resource-use balances, the low variants proposed by the panel produced a near balance in Variant 1. They were therefore marginally adjusted to obtain a precise global resource-use balance in this variant. Thus, the low variants presented in Chap. 7 and in the present chapter are not exactly the same as those initially formulated by the panel, but they are very similar.
- 5.
It is possible to achieve a global balance by altering the quantitative assumptions (e.g. yields), but we chose to work with unchanged quantitative assumptions and to note (and interpret) the effect of the adjustment process on the global and regional balances.
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© 2014 © Éditions Quæ, 2014
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Cotty, T., Chaumet, JM. (2014). Resource-Use Balances in the Agrimonde Scenarios. In: Paillard, S., Treyer, S., Dorin, B. (eds) Agrimonde – Scenarios and Challenges for Feeding the World in 2050. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-8745-1_8
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-8745-1_8
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