Skip to main content

Possible Impacts of Climate Variability and Change on Tropical Forest Hydrology

  • Chapter

Abstract

The paper initially outlines selected uncertainties influencing climate change and their linkages with hydrology which have led to only a small section of the hydrological community (divided into 2 groups) being pro-active. Due to the foregoing uncertainties, the strategy adopted in this paper will be to focus on the principal conclusions from controlled experimental catchment studies and related process hydrology connected with land-use change arising from anthropogenic influences. The underlying philosophy is that even major natural disruptions to climate cause ecohydrological shifts in the response of landscapes and such changes may be indicated from recent hydrology research evaluating man-made impacts. The paper assesses the existing conclusions from hydrological work undertaken in both the closed forests of the humid tropics and the open forests of the tropical semi-arid regions based mostly from experimentation in headwater catchments. Such studies are concerned with the hydrological responses to the impacts of forest conversion on the change in total water yield and, in turn, the processes connected with dry weather flow (delayed flow) and storm runoff (quickflow). By taking the above approach, possible hydrological changes to climate change will be inferred, including some consideration given the outputs from atmospheric General Circulation Models (GCMs) using the Amazon basin as an example.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD   219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Albergel, J. and Gioda, A.: 1986, ‘Extension des surfaces agricoles et modification de l’ecoulement: Analyse sur deux bassins de la savane africaine’, in L’Impact Des Activities Humaines Sur Les Eaux Continentales, Société Hydrotechnique De France, XIX Journees de l’Hydraulique, Paris, 9–11 Sept. 1986, Question No. 1/Rapport No. 9, pp. 1.9.1–1. 9. 6.

    Google Scholar 

  • Allan, R., Lindsey, J., and Parker, D.: 1996, El Nino Southern Oscillation and Climate Variabilty, CSIRO, Melbourne, 405 pp.

    Google Scholar 

  • Andreae, M. O.: 1996, ‘Raising the Dust in the Greenhouse’, Nature 380, 389–390.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Arnell, N. W.: 1992, ‘Factors Controlling the Effects of Climate Change on River Flow Regimes in a Humid Temperate Environment’, J. Hydrol. 132, 321–342.

    Google Scholar 

  • Arnell, N. W.: 1995, ‘Scenarios for Hydrological Climate Change Impact Studies’, in Oliver, H. and Oliver, S. A. (eds.), The Role of Water and the Hydrological Cycle in Global Change, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, pp. 389–407.

    Google Scholar 

  • Arnell, N. W.: 1998, ‘Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Variability and Change on the Hydrology of Europe’, in van Dam, J. C. (ed.), Impacts of Climate Change and Climate Variability on Hydrologie Regimes, Cambridge University Press - UNESCO International Hydrology Series, in press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Arnell, N. W., Brown, R. R C., and Reynard, N. S.: 1990, The Impact of Climatic Variability and Change on River Flow Regimes in the United Kingdom, Institute of Hydrology Rep. No. 107, Wallingford, p. 154.

    Google Scholar 

  • Arnell, N. W. and Reynard, N.: 1993, Impact of Climate Change on the River Flow Regimes in the United Kingdom, Institute of Hydrology/Dept. Environment, Water Directorate, p. 129.

    Google Scholar 

  • Barnes, C. J. and Bonell, M.: 1996, ‘Application of Unit Hydrograph Techniques to Solute Transport in Catchments’, Hydrol. Proc. 10, 793–802.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bariac, T., Millet, A., Ladouche, B., Mathieu, R., Grimaldi, C., Grimaldi, M., Hubert, R, Molicova, H., Bruckler, L., Bertuzzi, R, Boulegue, J., Brunet, Y., Tournebize, R., and Granier, A.: 1995, ‘Stream Hydrograph Seperation on Two Small Guianese Catchments’, in Leibundgut, Ch. (éd.), Tracer Technologies for Hydrological Systems, Proc. Boulder Symp., July 1995, International Association of Hydrological Sciences (IAHS) Publ. No. 229, pp. 193–209.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bathurst, J. C. and O’Connell, P. E.: 1992, ‘Future of Distributed Modelling: Le Système Hydrologique Européen’, Hydrol Proc. 6, 265–277.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bayliss-Smith, T. P.: 1983, ‘Rainfall, Infiltration and Runoff on Lakeba’, in Latham, M. and Brook-field, H. O. (eds.), The Eastern Islands of Fiji: a Study of the Natural Environment, its Use and Man’s Influence on its Evolution, Volume 162, ORSTOM, UNESCO/UNFPA/MAB, Paris, pp. 121–127.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bazemore, D. E., Eshleman, K. N., and Hollenbeck, K. J.: 1994, ‘The Role of Soil Water in Stormflow Generation in a Forested Headwater Catchment: Synthesis of Natural Tracer and Hydrometric Evidence’, J. Hydrol. 162, 47–75.

    Google Scholar 

  • Beven, K. J.: 1989, ‘Changing Ideas in Hydrology–the Case of Physically-Based Models’, J. Hydrol. 105, 157–172.

    Google Scholar 

  • Beven, K. J. and Germann, P. F.: 1982, ‘Macropores and Water Flow in Soils’, Water Resour. Res. 18, 1311–1325.

    Google Scholar 

  • Beven, K., Lamb, R., Quinn, P, Romanowicz, R., and Freer, J.: 1995, TOPMODEL, in Singh, V. P. (ed.), Computer Models of Watershed Hydrology, Chapter 18, Water Resources Publications, Boulder, CO, pp. 627–668.

    Google Scholar 

  • Beven, K. J., Wood, E. F., and Murugesu, S.: 1988, ‘On Hydrological Heterogeneity–Catchment Morphology and Catchment Response’, J. Hydrol. 100, 353–375.

    Google Scholar 

  • Blackie, J. R.: 1979a, ‘The Water Balance of the Kericho Catchments’, in Blackie, R., Edwards, K. A., and Clarke, R. T. (compilors), Hydrological Research in East Africa, E. Afr. Agric. For. J. 43, 55–84 (special issue).

    Google Scholar 

  • Blackie, J. R.: 1979b, ‘The Water Balance of the Kimakia Catchments’, in Blackie, R., Edwards, K. A., and Clarke, R. T. (compilors), Hydrological Research in East Africa, E. Afr. Agric. For. J. 43, 36–42 (special issue).

    Google Scholar 

  • Bloschel, G. and Sivapalan, M.: 1995, ‘Scale Issues in Hydrological Modelling: A Review’, Hydrol Proc. 9, 251–290.

    Google Scholar 

  • Blyth, E. M., Dolman, A. J., and Noilhan, J.: 1994, ‘The Effect of Forest on Mesoscale Rainfall; An Example from HAPEX-MOBILHY’, J. Appl. Meteorol. 33, 445^54.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bonell, M.: 1991a, ‘The Applications of Hillslope Hydrology in Forest Land-Management Issues: the Tropical North-East Queensland Experience, in Braga, B. P. F. and Fernandez-Jauregui, C. A. (eds.), Water Management of the Amazon Basin, Proc. Manaus Symp., August 1990, UNESCO (ROSTLAC), Montevideo, pp. 45–82.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bonell, M.: 1991b, ‘Progress and Future Research Needs in Water Catchment Conservation within the Wet Tropical Coast of North-East Queensland, in Goudberg, N., Bonell, M. with Benzakin, D. (eds.), Tropical Rainforest Research in Australia–Present Status and Future Directions for The Institute of Tropical Rainforest Studies, Proc. Townsville Workshop, May 1990, James Cook University of North Queensland, Townsville, Australia, pp. 59–86.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bonell, M.: 1993, ‘Progress in the Understanding of Runoff Generation Dynamics in Forests’, J. Hydrol 150, 217–275.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bonell, M. with Balek, J.: 1993, ‘Recent Scientific Developments and Research Needs in Hydro-logical Processes of the Humid Tropics’, in Bonell, M., Hufschmidt, M. M., and Gladwell, J. S.(eds.), Hydrology and Water Management in the Humid Tropics–Hydrological Research Issues and Strategies for Water Management, Cambridge University Press–UNESCO International Hydrology Series, Cambridge, pp. 167–260.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bonell, M. and Barnes, C. J.: 1997, The Combined Hydraulic and Isotope Response of Hillslopes to a Monsoon Storm in Disturbed and Undisturbed Tropical Rainforest: Some Considerations for Model Validation’, Unpublished technical document, CSIRO, Div. Water Resources Research, Canberra, A.C.T. 2601, Australia, p. 48.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bonell, M., Barnes, C. J., Grant, C. R., Howard, A., and Burns, J.: 1998, ‘High Rainfall Response- Dominated Catchments: A Comparative Study of Experiments in Tropical North-East Queensland with Temperate New Zealand’, in Kendall, C. and McDonnell, J. J. (eds.), Isotope Tracers in Catchment Hydrology, Elsevier, Amsterdam, in press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bonell, M. and Gilmour, D. A.: 1980, ‘Variations in Short-Term Rainfall Intensity in Relation to Synoptic Climatological Aspects of the Humid Tropical North-East Queensland Coast’, Singapore J. Trop. Geog. 1, pp. 16–30.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bonell, M., Gilmour, D. A., and Cassells, D. S.: 1991, The Links Between Synoptic Climatology and the Runoff Response of Rainforest Catchments on the Wet Tropical Coast of North-Eastern Queensland’, in Kershaw, P. A. andWerran, G. (eds.), The Rainforest Legacy-Australian National Rainforests Study Report, Volume 2, Australian Heritage Commission, Canberra, Australia, pp. 27–62.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bonell, M., Gilmour, D. A., and Sinclair, D. F.: 1981, ‘Soil Hydraulic Properties and Their Effect on Surface and Subsurface Water Transfer in a Tropical Rainforest Catchment’, Hydrol. Sci. Bull 26, 1–18.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bonell, M., Hufschmidt, M. M., and Gladwell, J. S. (eds.): 1993, Hydrology and Water Management in the Humid Tropics - Hydrological Research Issues and Strategies for Water Management, Cambridge University Press - UNESCO International Hydrology Series, Cambridge, p. 624.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bonell, M. and Williams, J.: 1989, ‘Reply to P. I. A. Kinnell’s Comments on “The Generation and Redistribution of Overland Flow on a Massive Oxic Soil in a Eucalypt Woodland within the Semiarid Tropics of North Australia”, Mike Bonell and John Williams’, Hydrol Proc. 3, 97–100.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bosch, J. M. and Hewlett, J. D.: 1982, ‘A Review of Catchment Experiments to Determine the Effect of Vegetation Changes on Water Yield and Evapotranspiration’, J. Hydrol 55, 3–23.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bouma, J. and Dekker, L. W.: 1978, ‘A Case Study on Infiltration into Dry Clay Soil, I. Morphological Observations’, Geoderma 20, 27–40.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bouwer, H.: 1966, ‘Rapid Field Measurements of Air Entry Value and Hydraulic Conductivity of Soils as Significant Parameters in Flow System Analysis’, Water Resour. Res. 2, 551–557.

    Google Scholar 

  • Broecker, W. S.: 1995, ‘Chaotic Climate-Global Temperatures Have Been Known to Change Substantially in Only a Decade or Two. Could Another Jump Be in the Offing?’, Scient. Amer. 273 (November 1995), 62–68.

    Google Scholar 

  • Brooks, R. H. and Corey, A. T.: 1964, ‘Hydraulic Properties of Various Porous Media’, Hydrol Paper 3, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO, p. 27.

    Google Scholar 

  • Brubaker, K. L., Entekhabi, D., and Eagleson, P. S.: 1994, ‘Atmospheric Water Vapor Transport and Continental Hydrology over the Americas’, J. Hydrol 155, 407–428.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bruijnzeel, L. A.: 1989, ’(De)forestation and Dry Season Flow in the Tropics: a Closer Look’, J. Tropic. Forest Sci. 1, 229–243.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bruijnzeel, L. A.: 1990, Hydrology of Moist Tropical Forest and Effects of Conversion: a State of Knowledge Review, UNESCO, Paris, and Free University, Amsterdam, p. 224.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bruijnzeel, L. A.: 1996, ‘Predicting the Hydrological Impacts of Tropical Forest Conversion: The Need for Integrated Research’, Keynote paper prepared for the ABRACOS Symposium on Amazonian Deforestation and Climate, Brasilia, 19–21 September, 1994, in Gash, J. H. C., Nobre, C. A., Roberts, J. M., and Victoria, R. L. (eds.), Amazonian Deforestation and Climate, Wiley, Chichester, pp. 15–56.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bruijnzeel, L. A. and Proctor, J.: 1995, ‘Hydrology and Biogeochemistry of Tropical Montane Cloud Forests: What Do We Really Know?’, in Hamilton, L. S., Juvik, J. O., and Scatena, F. N. (eds.), Tropical Montane Cloud Forests, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, pp. 38–78.

    Google Scholar 

  • Buttle, J. M.: 1994, ‘Isotope Hydrograph Separation and Rapid Delivery of Pre-Event Water from Drainage Basins’, Progr. Phys. Geogr. 18, 16–41.

    Google Scholar 

  • Calder, I. R.: 1990, Evaporation in the Uplands, Wiley, Chichester, p. 148.

    Google Scholar 

  • Campbell, G. S.: 1985, Soil Physics with BASIC, Elsevier, New York, pp. 73–97.

    Google Scholar 

  • Casenave, A. and Valentin, C.: 1989, ‘Les états de surface de la zone Sahelian–Influence sur l’infiltration’, Editions de l’ORSTOM, Institut Français de Recherche Scientifique pour le Développement en Coopération, Collection ACTIQUES, Paris 1989, pp. 178–182.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chang, J.-H. and Lau, L. S.: 1993, ‘A Definition of the Humid Tropics’, in Boneil, M., Hufschmidt, M. M., and Gladwell, J. S. (eds.), Hydrology and Water Management in the Humid Tropics–Hydrological Research Issues and Strategies for Water Management, UNESCO–Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 571–574.

    Google Scholar 

  • Charney, J. G.: 1975, ‘Dynamics of Deserts and Drought in the Sahel’, Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc. 101, 193–202.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chevallier, P. and Planchon, O.: 1993, ‘Hydrological Processes in a Small Humid Savanna Basin (Ivory Coast)’, J. Hydrol. 151, 173–191.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chorley, R. J.: 1978, ‘Glossary of Terms’, in Kirkby, M. J. (ed.), Hillslope Hydrology, Chichester, Wiley, pp. 365–375.

    Google Scholar 

  • Colinvaux, P. A.: 1987, ‘Amazon Diversity in Light of the Paleoecological Record’, Quat. Sei. Rev. 6, 93–114.

    Google Scholar 

  • Concise Experimental Plan, LB A: 1996 The Large Scale Biosphere -Atmosphere Experiment in Amazonia (LBA), Compiled by the LBA Science Planning Group, p. 44, Available from LBA project offices: Centro de Previsao de Tempo e Estudos Climâticos, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espa-ciais (INPE), 12630–000 Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; (EU-LBA office) DLO Winand Staring Centre for Integrated Land, Soil and Water Research, P.O. Box 125, NL-6700 AC Wageningen, The Netherlands and (North American LBA-office) NASA, 300 E. Street S.W., Washington, D.C. 20546, U.S.A.

    Google Scholar 

  • CSIRO: 1992, Climate Change Scenarios for the Australian Region, Climate Impact Group, CSIRO Division of Atmospheric Research, November 1992, p. 9.

    Google Scholar 

  • Culf, A. D., Fisch, G., and Hodnett, M. G.: 1995, ‘The Albedo of Amazonian Forest and Ranch Land’,/. Climate 8, 1544–1554.

    Google Scholar 

  • Desconnets, J. C., Taupin, J. D., Lebel, T., and Leduc, C.: 1997, ‘Hydrology of the HAPEX-Sahel Central Super-Site: Surface Water Drainage and Aquifer Recharge through Pool Systems’, J. Hydrol. 188–189, 155–178.

    Google Scholar 

  • Démarré, G. R. and Nicolis, C.: 1990, ‘Onset of Sahelian Drought Viewed as a Fluctuation-Induced Transition’, Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc. 116, 221–238.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dias, A. C. D. C. P. and Nortcliff, S.: 1985, ‘Effects of Two Land-Clearing Methods on the Physical Properties of an Oxisol in the Brazilian Amazon’, Tropic. Agric. 62, 207–212.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dickenson, R. E. and Henderson-Sellers, A.: 1988, ‘Modelling Tropical Deforestation: A Study of GCM Land-Surface Parameterizations’, Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc. 114 (B), 439–462.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dickensen, R. E. and Rowntree, P.: 1993, ‘GCM Model Studies’, in A Preliminary Science Plan for a Large Scale Biosphere Atmosphere Field Experiment in the Amazon Basin – Workshop Report, WCRP/IGBP/ISLSCP, 18–20 June 1992, NASA, Goddard Space Center, Greenbelt, Maryland, U.S.A., ISLSCP/GEWEX, IGPO Publication Series No. 4, pp. 2–2–2–5.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dolman, A. J., Gash, J. H. C., Goutorbe, J.-P., Kerr, Y., Lebel, T., Prince, S. D., and Strickler, J. N. M.: 1997, ‘The Role of the Land Surface in Sahelian Climate: HAPEX-Sahel Results and Future Research Needs’, J. Hydrol. 188–189, 1067–1079.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dooge, J. C.: 1986, ‘Looking for Hydrologie Laws’, Water Resour. Res. 22 (9), 46S - 58S.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dubreuil, P. L.: 1985, ‘Review of Field Observations of Run-Off Generation in the Tropics’, J. Hydrol. 80, 237–264.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dunne, T.: 1978, ‘Field Studies of Hillslope Flow Processes’, in Kirkby, M. J. (ed.), Hillslope Hydrology, Wiley, Chichester, pp. 227–293.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dunne, T.: 1983, ‘Relation of Field Studies and Modeling in the Prediction of Storm Runoff’, J. Hydrol 65, 25–48.

    Google Scholar 

  • Edwards, K. A.: 1979, ‘The Water Balance of the Mbeya Experimental Catchments’, in Blackie, J. R., Edwards, K. A., and Clarke, R. T. (compilors), Hydrological Research in East Africa, E. Afr. Agric. For. J. 43, 232–247 (special issue).

    Google Scholar 

  • Elsenbeer, H. and Cassel, D. K.: 1990, ‘Surficial Processes in the Rainforest of Western Amazonia’, in Zimmer, R. R., O’Loughlin, C. L., and Hamilton, L. S. (eds.), Research Needs and Applications to Reduce Erosion and Sedimentation in Tropical Steeplands, Proc. Fiji Symp., June 1990, Int’l. Assoc. Hydrol. Sei. Publ. 192, pp. 289–297.

    Google Scholar 

  • Eisenbeer, H. and Cassel, D. K.: 1991, ‘The Mechanisms of Overland Flow Generation in a Small Catchment in Western Amazonia’, in Braga, B. P. F. and Fernandez-Jauregui, C. A. (eds.), Water Management of the Amazon Basin Symp., Proc. Manaus Symp., Aug. 1990, UNESCO (ROSTLAC), Montevideo, Uruguay, pp. 275–288.

    Google Scholar 

  • Eisenbeer, H. and Lack, A: 1996, ‘Hydrological Pathways and Water Chemistry in Amazonian Rain Forests’, in Anderson, M. G. and Brooks, S. M. (eds.), Advances in Hillslope Processes, Volume 2, Wiley, Chichester, pp. 939–959.

    Google Scholar 

  • Eisenbeer, H., Lack, A., and Cassel, K.: 1995b, ‘Chemical Fingerprints of Hydrological Compartments and Flow Paths at La Cuenca, Western Amazonia’, Water Resour. Res. 31, 3051–3058.

    Google Scholar 

  • Elsenbeer, H., Lorieri, D., and Bonell, M.: 1995a, ‘Mixing Model Approaches to Estimate Storm Flow Sources in an Overland Flow-Dominated Tropical Rain Forest Catchment’, Water Resour. Res. 31, 2267–2278.

    Google Scholar 

  • Elsenbeer, H., West, A., and Bonell, M.: 1994, ‘Hydrologie Pathways and Stormflow Hydrochemistry at South Creek, Northeast Queensland’, J. Hydrol. 162, 1–21.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Eltahir, E. A. B. and Bras, R. L.: 1993, ‘On the Response of the Tropical Atmosphere to Large-Scale Deforestation’, Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc. 119, 779–793.

    Google Scholar 

  • Eltahir, E. A. B. and Bras, R. L.: 1994, ‘Precipitation Recycling in the Amazon Basin’, Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc. 120, 861–880.

    Google Scholar 

  • Emsley, J.: 1994, ‘Cool Reception for Warming Predictions’, New Scient. 8 (October), 19.

    Google Scholar 

  • Entekhabi, D. and Eagleson, P. S.: 1989, ‘Land-Surface Hydrology Parameterisation for Atmospheric General Circulation Models Including Subgrid Scale Spatial Variability’, J. Climate 2, 816–831.

    Google Scholar 

  • Famiglietti, J. S. and Wood, E. F.: 1994a, ‘Multiscale Modeling of Spatially Variable Water and Energy Balance Processes’, Water Resour. Res. 30, 3061–3078.

    Google Scholar 

  • Famiglietti, J. S. and Wood, E. F.: 1994b, ‘Application of Multiscale Water and Energy Balance Models on a Tallgrass Prairie’, Water Resour. Res. 30, 3079–3093.

    Google Scholar 

  • Flenley, J. R.: 1998, ‘Tropical Forests under the Climates of the Last 30,000 Years’, Clim. Change 39 (this volume).

    Google Scholar 

  • Folland, C. K., Owen, J. A., Ward, M. N., and Colman, A. W.: 1991, ‘Prediction of Seasonal Rainfall in the Sahel Region Using Empirical and Dynamical Methods’, J. Forecast. 10, 21–56.

    Google Scholar 

  • Frangi, J. L. and Lugo, A. E.: 1991, ‘Hurricane Damage to a Flood Plain Forest in the Luquillo Mountains of Puerto Rico’, Biotropica 23, 324–335 (special issue).

    Google Scholar 

  • Fritsch, J.-M., 1992: Les Effets du Défrichement de la Forêt Amazonienne et de la Mise en Culture sur VHydrologie de Petits Bassins Versants - Opération ECEREX en Guyane Française, Editions de l’ORSTOM, Institut Français de Recherche Scientifique pour le Développement en Coopération, Collection Etudes et Thèses, Paris, 1992, p. 392.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gash, J. H. C., Kabat, P., Monteny, B. A., Amadou, M., Bessemoulin, P., Billing, H., Blyth, E. M., deBruin, H. A. R., Elbers, J. A., Friborg, T., Harrison, G., Holwill, C. J., Lloyd, C. R., Lhomme, J.-P., Moncrieff, J. B., Puech, D., Soegaard, H., Taupin, J. D., Tuzet, A., and Verhoef, A.: 1997, ‘The Variability of Evaporation During the HAPEX-Sahel: Intensive Observation Period’, J. Hydrol. 188–189, 385–399.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gash, J. H. C., Nobre, C. A., Roberts, J. M., and Victoria, R. L.: 1996, Amazonian Deforestation and Climate, Wiley, Chichester, p. 595.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gilmour, D. A.: 1975, ‘Catchment Water Balance Studies on the Wet Tropical Coast of North Queensland’, Ph.D. Thesis, Department of Geography, James Cook University of North Queensland, Townsville, p. 254.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gilmour, D. A.: 1977, ‘Effects of Logging and Clearing on Water Yield and Quality in a High Rainfall Zone of North-East Queensland’, in The Hydrology of Northern Australia, Proc. Brisbane Hydrol. Symp., June 1977, Inst. Engrs., Canberra, Australia, Nat. Conf. Publ. 77 /5, pp. 156–160.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gilmour, D. A., Bonell, M., and Cassells, D. S.: 1987, ‘The Effects of Forestation on Soil Hydraulic Properties in the Middle Hills of Nepal: A Preliminary Assessment’, M. Res. Dev. 7, 239–249.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gilmour, D. A., Bonell, M., and Sinclair, D. F.: 1980, ‘An Investigation of Storm Drainage Processes in a Tropical Rainforest Catchment’, Australian Government Publ. Service, Canberra, A.C.T. Australian Water Resources Council Tech. Paper 56, p. 93.

    Google Scholar 

  • Giorgi, F. and Mearns, L. O.: 1991, ‘Approaches to the Simulation of Regional Climate Change: A Review’, Rev. Geophys. 29, 191–216.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gong, C. and Eltahir, E.: 1996, ‘Sources of Moisture for Rainfall in West Africa’, Water Resour. Res. 32, 3115–3121.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Goutorbe, J.-P, Lebel, T., Tinga, A., Bessemoulin, P., Brouwer, J., Dolman, A. J., Engman, E. T., Gash, J. H. C., Hoepffner, M., Kabat, P., Kerr, Y. H., Monteny, B., Prince, S., Said, F., Sellers, P., and Wallace, J. S.: 1994, ‘HAPEX-Sahel: A Large-Scale Study of Land-Atmosphere Interactions in the Semi-Arid Tropics’, Ann. Geophys. 12, 53–64.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hamilton, L. S.: 1988, ‘The Environmental Influences of Forests and Forestry in Enhancing Food Production and Food Security’, presented at Expert Consultation on Forestry and Food Production/Security, Bangalore, India, 14–20 Feb. 1988, FAO, Rome (1987).

    Google Scholar 

  • Hamilton, L. S.: 1990, ‘Tropical Forests: Identifying and Clarifying Issues’, An Overview Paper on Issues for the Tropical Forests Task Force of the Pacific Economic Cooperation Council, Kuala Lumpur, 25–29 Sept. 1990 (available from Environ, and Policy Inst., East West Center, Honolulu, Hawaii).

    Google Scholar 

  • Hastenrath, S.: 1988, Climate and Circulation of the Tropics, Reidel, Dordrecht, p. 455.

    Google Scholar 

  • Henderson-Sellers, A.: 1987, ‘Effects of Change in Land Use on Climate in the Humid Tropics, in Dickinson, R. E. (ed.), The Geophysiology of Amazonia–Vegetation and Climate Interactions, Wiley/UNU, New York, pp. 463–493.

    Google Scholar 

  • Henderson-Sellers, A. and Brown, V. B.: 1992, PILPS: Project for Intercomparison of Land-Surface Parameterization Schemes, First Science Plan, IGPO Publ. 5.

    Google Scholar 

  • Henderson-Sellers, A., Dickinson, R. E., Durbridge, T. B., Kennedy, P. J., McGuffie, K., and Pitman, A. J.: 1993, ‘Tropical Deforestation: Modelling Local to Regional-Scale Climate Change’, J. Geophys. Res. 98, 7389–7315.

    Google Scholar 

  • Henderson-Sellers, A. and Gornitz, V.: 1984, ‘Possible Climatic Impacts of Land Cover Transformation with Particular Emphasis on Tropical Deforestation’, Clim. Change 6, 231–258.

    Google Scholar 

  • Henderson-Sellers, A., McGuffie, K., and Durbidge, T. B.: 1995, ‘Modelling the Hydrological Response to Large Scale Land Use Change’, in Feddes, R. A. (ed.), Space and Time Scale Variability and Interdependencies in Hydrological Processes, Cambridge University Press–UNESCO International Hydrology Series, Cambridge, pp. 63–88.

    Google Scholar 

  • Herwitz, S. R.: 1986, ‘Infiltration-Excess Caused by Stemflow in a Cyclone-Prone Tropical Rainforest’, Earth Surf. Proc. Landf 11, 401–412.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hewlett, J. D.: 1961. D.: 1961, ‘Watershed Management’, in Report for 1961 Southeastern Forest Experiment Station, U.S. For. Serv., Asheville, NC, p. 61–66.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hewlett, J. D. and Fortson, J. C.: 1983, ‘The Paired Catchment Experiment’, in Hewlett, J. D. (ed.), Forest Water Quality, School of Forest Resources, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA, pp. 11–14.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hewlett, J. D. and Hibbert, A. R.: 1967, ‘Factors Affecting the Response of Small Watersheds to Precipitation in Humid Areas’, in Sopper, W. E. and Lull, H. W. (eds.), International Symposium on Forest Hydrology, Pergamon, Oxford, pp. 275–290.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hewlett, J. D. and Nutter, W. L.: 1969, An Outline of Forest Hydrology, University of Georgia Press, Athens, GA, p. 81.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hewlett, J. D. and Nutter, W. L.: 1970, ‘The Varying Source Area of Streamflow from Upland Basins’, Paper presented at Symposium on Interdisciplinary Aspects of Watershed Management, Montana State University, Bozeman, American Society of Civil Engineers, New York, pp. 65–83.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hewlett, J. D., Lull, H. W, and Reinhart, K. G.: 1969, ‘In Defense of Experimental Watersheds’, Water Resour. Res. 5, 306–316.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hibbert, A. R.: 1967, ‘Forest Treatment Effects on Water Yield’, in Sopper, W. E. and Lull, H. W. (eds.), International Symposium on Forest Hydrology, Pergamon, Oxford, pp. 527–543.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hodnett, M. G., Oyama, M. D., Tomasella, J., and De O. Marques Filho, A.: 1996, ‘Comparisons of Long-Term Soil Water Storage Behaviour Under Pasture and Forest in Three Areas of Amazonia’, in Gash, J. H. C., Nobre, C. A., Roberts, J. M., and Victoria, R. L. (eds.), Amazonian Deforestation and Climate, Wiley, Chichester, pp. 57–77.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hodnett, M. G., Pimental da Silva, L., da Rocha, H. R., and Cruz Senna, R.: 1995, ‘Seasonal Soil Water Storage Changes Beneath Central Amazonian Rainforest and Pasture’, 7. Hydrol. 170, 233–254.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hodnett, M. G., Vendrome, I., De O. Marques Filho, A., Oyama, M. D., and Tomasella, J.: 1997a, ‘Soil Water Storage and Groundwater Behaviour in a Catenary Sequence Beneath Forest in Central Amazonia. I. Comparisons Between Plateau, Slope and Valley Floor’, Hydrol Earth Syst. Sci. 1, 265–278.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hodnett, M. G., Vendrome, I., De O. Marques Filho, A., Oyama, M. D., and Tomasella, J.: 1997b, ‘Soil Water Storage and Groundwater Behaviour in a Catenary Sequence Beneath Forest in Central Amazonia. II. Floodplain Water Table Behaviour and Implications for Streamflow Generation’, Hydrol Earth Syst Sci. 1, 279–290.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hubert, P. and Carbonnel, J. P.: 1987, ‘Approche statistique de l’aridificationde l’Afrique del’Ouest’, J. Hydrol 95, 165–183.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hulme, M.: 1992, ‘Rainfall Changes in Africa: 1931–1960 to 1961–1990’, Int. J. Climatol. 12, 685–699.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hulme, M. and Viner, D.: 1995, A Climate Change Scenario for Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Tropical Rain Forests, A report prepared by the Climate Research Unit for WWF (U.S.A.), Univ. East Anglia, U.K., p. 34.

    Google Scholar 

  • Institute of Hydrology: 1994, Amazonia-Forests, Pasture and Climate, Results from ABRACOS, Institute of Hydrology, U.K., p. 18.

    Google Scholar 

  • Integrated Science Plan, LBA: 1997, The Large Scale Biosphere - Atmosphere Experiment in Amazonia (LBA), The LBA Project Office, Centro de Provisao do Tempo e Estudos Climaticos/INPE, CEP 12630–000 Cachoeira Paulista/SP, Brazil, e-mail: lba@cptec.inpe.br, in preparation.

    Google Scholar 

  • IPCC: 1990, Houghton, J. T., Jenkins, G. J., and Ephraums, J. J. (eds.), Climate Change: The IPCC Scientific Assessment, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 365.

    Google Scholar 

  • Isaksen, I. S. A.: 1994, ‘Dual Effects of Ozone Reduction’, Nature 372, 322–323.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Issar, A. S.: 1995, Impacts of Climate Variations on Water Management and Related Socio-Economic Systems, Technical Documents in Hydrology, International Hydrological Programme, UNESCO, Paris, p. 97.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jackson, I. J.: 1975, ‘Relationships Between Rainfall Parameters and Interception by Tropical Rainforest’, J. Hydrol 24, 215–238.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jackson, I. J.: 1986, ‘Relationships Between Raindays, Mean Daily Intensity and Monthly Rainfall in the Tropics’, J. Climatol 6, 117–134.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jackson, I. J.: 1988, ‘Daily Rainfall over Northern Australia: Deviations from the World Pattern’, J. Climatol 8, 463–476.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jager, J. and Ferguson, H. L.: 1991, Climate Change: Science, Impacts and Policy, Proc. Second World Conference, Cambridge, p. 578.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jetten, V. G.: 1994, ‘Modelling the Effects of Logging on the Water Balance of a Tropical Rain Forest: A Study in Guyana’, Tropenbos Ser. 6, University of Utrecht, Department of Physical Geography, Faculty of Geographical Sciences, P.O. Box 80.115, 3508 TC Utrecht, The Nether-lands/Tropenbos, Wageningen, The Netherlands, p. 196.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jones, R. J., Murphy, J. M., and Noguer, M.: 1995, Simulation of Climate Change over Europe Using a Nested Regional Climate Model Part I. Assessment of Control Climate Including Sensitivity to Location of Lateral Boundaries, in preparation.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kalma, J. D. and Calder, I. R.: 1994, Land Surface Processes in Large-Scale Hydrology. World Meteorological Organisation, Operational Hydrology Report No. 40, p. 60.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kaufmann, R. K. and Stern, D. I.: 1997, ‘Evidence for Human Influence on Climate from Hemispheric Temperature Relations’, Nature 388 (3 July), 39–44.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Kershaw, A. P. and Sluiter, I. P., McEwan Mason, J., Wagstaff, B. E., and Whitelaw, M.: 1991, ‘The History of Rainforest in Australia–Evidence from Pollen’, in Werren, G. and Kershaw, P. (eds.), The Rainforest Legacy–Australian National Rainforests Study, Volume 3, Aust. Govt. Pub. Service, Canberra, pp. 1–15.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kirkby, M. J.: 1988, ‘Hillslope Runoff Processes and Models ’, J. Hydrol 100, 315–339.

    Google Scholar 

  • Le Barbe, L. and Lebel, T.: 1997, ‘Rainfall Climatology of the HAPEX-Sahel During the Years 1950–1990’, J. Hydrol 188–189, 43–73.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lean, J., Bunton, C. B., Nobre, C. A., and Rowntree, P. R.: 1996, ‘The Simulated Impact of Amazonian Deforestation on Climate Using Measured ABRACOS Vegetation Characteristics’, in Gash, J. H. C., Nobre, C. A., Roberts, J. M., and Victoria, R. L. (eds.), Amazonian Deforestation and Climate, Wiley, Chichester, pp. 549–576.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lean, J. and Warrilow, D. A.: 1989, ‘Simulation of the Regional Climatic Impact of Amazon Deforestation’, Nature 342, 411–413.

    Google Scholar 

  • Leavesley, G. H.: 1994, ‘Modeling the Effects of Climate Change on Water Resources–A Review’, Clim. Change 28, 157–177.

    Google Scholar 

  • Leavesley, G. H.: 1998, ‘Overview of Models for the Evaluation of the Impacts of Climate Change on Hydrology’, in van Dam, J. C. (ed.), Impact of Climate Change and Climate Variability on Hydrologie Regimes, Cambridge University Press - UNESCO International Hydrolgy Series, in press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lesack, L. E W: 1993, ‘Water Balance and Hydrologie Characteristics of a Rain Forest Catchment in the Central Amazon Basin’, Water Resour. Res. 29, 759–773.

    Google Scholar 

  • Li, X., Marling, H., Savoie, D., Voss, K., and Prospero, J. M.: 1996, ‘Dominance of Mineral Dust in Aerosol Light-Scattering in the North Atlantic Trade Winds’, Nature 380, 416–419.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Lins, H. E., Shiklomanov, I. A., and Stakhiv, E. Z.: 1991, ‘Impacts on Hydrology and Water Resources’, in Jager, J. and Ferguson, H. L. (eds.), Climate Change: Science, Impacts and Policy, Proc. Second World Climate Conference, Cambridge, pp. 87–97.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lloyd, C. R.: 1990, ‘The Temporal Distribution of Amazonian Rainfall and Its Implications for Forest Interception’, Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc. 116, 1487–1494.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lloyd, C. R., Gash, J. H. C., Shuttleworth, W. J., and Marques Filho, A. de O.: 1988, ‘The Measurement and Modelling of Rainfall Interception by Amazonian Rainforest’, J. Hydrol. 43, 277–294.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lodge, J. D., Scatena, F. N., Asbury, C. E., and Sanchez, M. J.: 1991, ‘Fine Litterfall and Related Nutrient Inputs Resulting from Hurricane Hugo in Subtropical Wet and Lower Montane Rain Forests of Puerto Rico’, Biotropica 23, 336–342 (special issue).

    Google Scholar 

  • Mahe, G.: 1993, Les Ecoulements Fluviaux sur la Façade Atlantique de l’Afrique - Etude des Eléments de Bilan Hydrique et Variabilité Interannuelle, Analyse de Situations Hydroclimatiques Moyennes et Extrêmes, Editions de l’ORSTOM, Institut Français de Recherche Scientifique Pour le Developpément en Coopération, Collection ETUDES et THESES, Paris 1993, p. 438.

    Google Scholar 

  • Maimer, A.: 1993, ‘Dynamics of Hydrology and Nutriend Losses as Response to Establishment of Forest Plantation: A Case Study on Tropical Rainforest Land in Sabah, Malaysia’, Dissertation, Department of Forest Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Umeâ, p. 54 + 6 supporting manuscripts.

    Google Scholar 

  • Manton, M. J. and Bonell, M.: 1993, ‘Climate and Rainfall Variability in the Humid Tropics’, in Bonell, M., Hufschmidt, M. M., and Gladwell, J. S. (eds.), Hydrology and Water Management in the Humid Tropics–Hydrological Research Issues and Strategies for Water Management, UNESCO–Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 13–33.

    Google Scholar 

  • McDonnell, J. J., Freer, J., Hooper, R., Kendall, C., Burns, D., Beven, K., and Peters, J.: 1996, ‘New Method Developed for Studying Flow on Hillslopes’, EOS 11 (47), 465, 472.

    Google Scholar 

  • McNaughton, K. G. and Jarvis, P. G.: 1983, ‘Predicting Effects of Vegetation Changes on Transpiration and Evaporation’, in Kozlowski, T. T. (ed.), Water Deficits and Plant Growth, Academic Press, New York 7, pp. 1–47.

    Google Scholar 

  • McPhaden, M. J.: 1994, ‘The Eleven-Year El Nino?’, Nature 370, 326–327.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mitchell, J. F. B., Johns, T. C., Gregory, J. M., and Tett, S. F. B.: 1995, ‘Climate Response to Increasing Levels of Greenhouse Gases and Sulphate Aerosols’, Nature 376, 501–504.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Molicova, H., Bonell, M., Grimaldi, M., and Hubert, P.: 1997, ‘Using TOPMODEL Towards Identifying and Modelling the Hydrological Patterns Within a Headwater Humid Tropical Catchment’, Hydrol Proc. 11, 1169–1196.

    Google Scholar 

  • Molion, L. C. B.: 1993, ‘Amazonia Rainfall and Its Variability’, in Bonell, M., Hufschmidt, M. M., and Gladwell, J. S. (eds.), Hydrology and Water Management in the Humid Tropics-Hydrological Research Issues and Strategies for Water Management, Cambridge University Press–UNESCO International Hydrology Series, Cambridge, pp. 99–111.

    Google Scholar 

  • Monteny, B. A.: 1986, ‘Importance of the Tropical Rainforest as an Atmospheric Moisture Source’, Euro. Space Agency Spec. Public. 248, 449–454.

    Google Scholar 

  • Moore, I.D., Grayson, R. B., and Ladson, A. R.: 1991, ‘Digital Terrain Modelling: A Review of Hydrological, Geomorphological and Biological Applications’, Hydrol Proc. 5, 3–30.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mott MacDonald International/BCEOM/SOGREAH/ORSTOM: 1992, Sub-Saharan Africa Hydro-logical Assessment West African Countries, Regional Report, December 1992, World Bank, Washington, D.C., p. 131 + Appendices.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nation: 1989, ‘Government Revokes Logging Concessions Nationwide’, Headlines 14 (4241), Bangkok, 1.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nautiyal, J. C. and Babor, PS.: 1985, ‘Forestry in the Himalayas–How to Avert an Environment Disaster’, Interdisciplin. Sci. Rev. 10, 27–41.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nemec, J.: 1994, ‘Climate Variability, Hydrology and Water Resources: Do We Communicate in the Field? (HAPEX, FIFE, GEWEX, GCIP and What Next?)’, Hydrol. Sci. J. 39, 193–197.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nepstad, D. C., de Carvalho, C. R., Davidson, E. A., Jipp, P H., Lefebvre, P A., Negreiros, G. H., da Silva, E. D., Stone, T. A., Trumbore, S. E., and Vieira, S.: 1994, ‘The Role of Deep Roots in the Hydrological and Carbon Cycles of Amazonian Forests and Pastures’, Nature 372 (15 December 1994), 666–669.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Nicholson, S. E.: 1978, ‘Climatic Variations in the Sahel and Other African Regions During the Past Five Centuries’, J. Arid Environ. 1, 3–24.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nicholson, S. E.: 1989, ‘Long-Term Changes in African Rainfall’, Weather 44, 46–56.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nortcliff, S. and Thornes, J. B.: 1981, ‘Seasonal Variations in the Hydrology of a Small Forested Catchment near Manaus, Amazonas, and the Implications for Its Management’, in Lai, R. and Russell, E. W. (eds.), Tropical Agricultural Hydrology–Watershed Management and Land Use, Wiley, Chichester, pp. 37–57.

    Google Scholar 

  • O’Loughlin, E. M.: 1990a, ‘Perspectives on Hillslope Research’, in Anderson, M. G. and Burt, T. P. (eds.), Process Studies in Hillslope Hydrology, Wiley, Chichester, pp. 501–516.

    Google Scholar 

  • O’Loughlin, E. M.: 1990b, ‘Modelling Soil Water Status in Complex Terrain’, Agric. Forest Meteorol. 50, 23–38.

    Google Scholar 

  • Opoku-Ankomah, Y. and Cordery, I.: 1994, ‘Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Rainfall Variabilty in Ghana’, J. Climate 7, 551–558.

    Google Scholar 

  • Patural, J. E., Servat, E., Kouame, B., Lubes, H., Ouedraogo, M., and Masson, J. M.: 1997, ‘Climatic Variability in Humid Africa Along the Gulf of Guinea. Part II: An Integrated Regional Approach’, J. Hydrol. 191, 16–36.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pearce, F.: 1994, ‘Not Warming, but Cooling’, New Scient. 9 (July), 37–41.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pereira, H. C.: 1991, ‘The Role of Forestry in the Management of Tropical Watersheds’, in Parde, J. and Blanchard, G. (eds.), Forests, A Heritage for the Future, Proc. 10th World Forestry Congress, Paris, Sept. 1991, Revue Forestière Française, Hors Série No. 3 (Proc. 3), ENGREF, F-54042 Nancy Cedex, pp. 139–150 (English), pp. 151–160 (French), pp. 161–170 (Spanish), (bibliography not included, available from author).

    Google Scholar 

  • Philander, S. G. H.: 1990, El Nino, La Nina and the Southern Oscillation, Academic Press, New York, p. 293.

    Google Scholar 

  • Philip, J. R.: 1975, ‘Some Remarks on Science and Catchment Prediction’, in Chapman, T. G. and Dunin, F. X. (eds.), Prediction in Catchment Hydrology, Australian Academy of Science, Canberra, ACT, pp. 23–30.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pitman, A. J., Durbridge, T. B., and Henderson-Sellers, A.: 1993, ‘Assessing Climate Model Sensitivity to Prescribed Deforested Landscapes’, Int. J. Climatol. 13, 879–898.

    Google Scholar 

  • Polcher, J.: 1995, ‘Sensitivity of Tropical Convection to Land Surface Processes’, /. Atmos. Sci. 52, 3143–3161.

    Google Scholar 

  • Polcher, J. and Laval, K.: 1994, ‘The Impact of African and Amazonian Deforestation on Tropical Climate’, J. Hydrol. 155, 389–405.

    Google Scholar 

  • Puegeot, C., Esteves, M., Galle, S., Rajot, J. L., and Vandervaere, J. P.: 1997, ‘Runoff Generation Processes: Results and Analysis of Field Data Collected at the East Central Supersite of the HAPEX-Sahel Experiment’, J. Hydrol. 188–189, 179–202.

    Google Scholar 

  • Quinn, P. F., Beven, K. J., Chevallier, P., and Planchon, O.: 1991, ‘The Prediction of Hillslope Flow Paths for Distributed Hydrological Modelling Using Digital Terrain Models’, Hydrol. Proc. 5, 59–79.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ramakrishnan, RS.: 1992, Shifting Agriculture and Sustainable Development - An Interdisciplinary Study from North-Eastern India, Man and the Biosphere Series, Volume 10, UNESCO Press, Paris/Oxford University Press, Delhi, p. 424.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rao, Y. S.: 1988, ‘Flash Floods in Southern Thailand’, FAO, Bangkok, Tiger Paper 15, 1–2.

    Google Scholar 

  • Richey, J. E., Nobre, C., and Deser, C.: 1989, ‘Amazon River Discharge and Climate Variability: 1903 to 1985’, Science 246, 101–163.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Sadler, J. C.: 1975, ‘The Monsoon Circulation and Cloudiness over the GATE Area’, Mon. Wea. Rev. 103, 369–387.

    Google Scholar 

  • Salati, E., Dallo’Olio, A., Marsui, E., and Gat, J. R.: 1979, ‘Recycling of Water in the Amazon Basin: An Isotope Study’, Water Resour. Res. 15, 1250–1258.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Sanderson, M. (ed).: 1990, UNESCO Sourcebook in Climatology, UNESCO Press, Paris, p. 109.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sandstrom, K.: 1995, Forests and Water-Friends or Foes? Hydrological Implications of Deforestation and Land Degradation in Semi-arid Tanzania, Ph.D. Thesis, Linkoping Studies in Arts and Science 120, Linkoping University, S-581 83 Linkoping, Sweden, 1995, p. 69 + 6 supporting manuscripts.

    Google Scholar 

  • Savenije, H. H. G.: 1995, ‘New Definitions for Moisture Recycling and the Relationship with Land- Use Changes in the Sahel’, J. Hydrol. 167, 57–78.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schultz, G. A., Hornbogen, M., Viterbo, P., andNoilhan, J.: 1995, Coupling Large-Scale Hydrological and Atmospheric Models, International Association of Hydrological Sciences (IAHS), Special Publication No. 3, IAHS Press, Wallingford, p. 96.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sellers, P. J.: 1987, ‘Modeling Effects of Vegetation on Climate’, in Dickinson, R. E. (ed.), The Geophysiology of Amazonia–Vegetation and Climate Interactions, Wiley/UNU, New York, pp. 297–344.

    Google Scholar 

  • Servat, E., Patural, J. E., Lubes, H., Kouame, B., Ouedraogo, M., and Masson, J. M.: 1997, ‘Climate Variability in Humid Africa Along the Gulf of Guinea. Part I: Detailed Analysis of the Phenomenon in Cote d’lvoire’, J. Hydrol. 191, 1–15.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shiklomanov, I. A.: 1998, ‘Climate Change Hydrology and Water Resouces: The Work of the IPCC, 1988–1994’, in van Dam, J. C. (ed.), Impacts of Climate Change and Climate Variability on Hydrological Regimes, Cambridge University Press - UNESCO International Hydrology Series, in press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shukla, J., Nobre, C., and Sellers, P. J.: 1990, ‘Amazonian Deforestation and Climate Change’, Science 241, 1322–1325.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shuttleworth, W. J.: 1988, ‘Evaporation from Amazonian Rain Forest’, Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. B233, 321–346.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shuttleworth, W. J.: 1989, ‘Micrometeorology of Temperate and Tropical Forest’, Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. B324, 299–334.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shuttleworth, W. J.: 1991, ‘The Role of Hydrology in Global Science’, in Kienitz, G., Milly, P. C. D., van Genuchten, M. Th., Rosbjerg, D., and Shuttleworth, W. J. (eds.), Hydrological Interactions Between Atmosphere, Soil and Vegetation, Proc. Vienna Symp., Aug. 1991, Int’l Assoc. of Hydrol. Sei., Publ. 204, pp. 361–375.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shuttleworth, W. J., Gash, J. H. C., Roberts, J., Nobre, J. C. A., Molion, L. C. B., and De Nazare Goes Ribeiro, M.: 1991, ‘Post-Deforestation Amazonia Climate: Anglo-Brazilian Research to Improve Prediction’, in Water Management of the Amazon Basin Symp., Proc. Manaus Symp., Aug. 1990, UNESCO (ROSTLAC), Montevideo, Uruguay, pp. 275–288.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sircoulon, J., Lebel, T., and Arnell, N. W.: 1998, ‘Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Variability and Change on the Hydrology of Africa’, in van Dam, J. C. (ed.), Impact of Climate Change and Climate Variability on Hydrologie Regimes, Cambridge University Press - UNESCO International Hydrology Series, in press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Smetten, K. R. J. and Trudgill, S. T.: 1983, ‘An Evaluation of Fluorescent and Non-Fluorescent Dyes in the Identification of Water Transmission Routes in Soils’, J. Soil Sei. 34, 45–65.

    Google Scholar 

  • Street-Perrott, F. A.: 1994, ‘Drowned Trees Record Dry Spells’, Nature 369, 518.

    Google Scholar 

  • Taylor, C. M., Said, F., and Lebel, T.: 1997, ‘Interactions Between the Land Surface and Mesoscale Rainfall Variability During HAPEX-Sahel’, Mon. Wea. Rev., in press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tegan, I., Lacis, A. A., and Fung, I.: 1996, The Influence on Climate Forcing of Mineral Aerosols from Disturbed Soils’, Nature 380, 419–422.

    Google Scholar 

  • Toky, O. P. and Ramakrishnan, P. S.: 1981, ‘Run-Off and Infiltration Losses Related to Shifting Agriculture (Jhum) in North-Eastern India’, Environ. Conserv. 8, 313–321.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Tomasella, J. and Hodnett, M. G.: 1996, ‘Soil Hydraulic Properties of an Oxisol under Pasture in Central Amazonia’, in Gash, J. H. C., Nobre, C. A., Roberts, J. M., and Victoria, R. L. (eds.), Amazonian Deforestation and Climate, Wiley, Chichester, pp. 101–124.

    Google Scholar 

  • Uehara, G.: 1995, ‘Management of Isoelectric Soils of the Humid Tropics’, in Lai, R., Kimble, J., Levine, E., and Stewart, B. A. (eds.), Soil Management and the Greenhouse Effect, CRC Lewis Publishers, Boca Raton, FL, pp. 271–278.

    Google Scholar 

  • van Dam, J. C. and Bonell, M.: 1998, ‘Conclusions and Recommendations’, in van Dam, J. C. (ed.), Impact of Climate Change and Climate Variability on Hydrologic Regimes, Cambridge University Press - UNESCO International Hydrology Series, in press.

    Google Scholar 

  • van Genuchten, M. Th.: 1980, ‘A Closed-Form Equation for Predicting the Hydraulic Conductivity of Unsaturated Soils’, Soil Sci. Soc. Amer. J. 44, 892–898.

    Google Scholar 

  • van Genuchten, M. Th. and Leij, F. J.: 1992, ‘On Estimating the Hydraulic Properties of Unsaturated Soils’, in van Genuchten, M. Th., Leij, F. J., and Lund, I. J. (eds.), Indirect Methods for Estimating the Hydraulic Properties of Unsaturated Soils, University of Californa, Riverside, CA 92521, pp. 1–14.

    Google Scholar 

  • van Rompaey, R. S. A. R.: 1995, ‘Climate Change and Deforestation in West Africa: A Space-Time Trend Analysis of Rainfall Series from Cote d’lvoire and Liberia’, in Zwerver, S., van Rompaey, R. S. A. R., Kok, M. T. J., and Berk, M. M. (eds.), Climate Change Research: Evaluation and Policy Implications, Elsevier, Amsterdam, pp. 417–420.

    Google Scholar 

  • Vorosmarty, C. J., Bonell, M., and Becker, A.: 1998, ‘HYNEST’, in Dunne, T. and Becker, A. (eds.), Opportunities for Hydrologic Research in the Humid Tropics with Specific Reference to the Amazon Basin, UNESCO IHP Paris/IGBP-BAHC Potsdam, in press. (Developed from The Hydrological Component of the Amazon Experiment LBA - Draft Science Plan based on the IGBP(BAHC)-UNESCO IHP Workshop, Piracicaba, Brazil, 30 November-3 December 1994.)

    Google Scholar 

  • Walsh, R. P. D.: 1980, ‘Runoff Processes and Models in the Humid Tropics’, Z. Geomorphol. N.F. Suppl.-Bd. 36, 176–202.

    Google Scholar 

  • Waterloo, M. J.: 1994, ‘Water and Nutrient Dynamics of Pinus caribaea Plantation Forests on Former Grassland Soils in Southwest Viti Levu, Fiji’, Thesis, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, p. 478.

    Google Scholar 

  • WCRP/IGBP/ISLSCP: 1993, Preliminary Science Plan for a Large-Scale Biosphere-Atmosphere Field Experiment in the Amazon Basin-Workshop Report, 18–20 June 1992, Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, Maryland.

    Google Scholar 

  • Weinberg, A. M.: 1972a, ‘Science and Trans-Science’, in Civilisations and Science, Elsevier, Amsterdam, pp. 105–122.

    Google Scholar 

  • Weinberg, A. M.: 1972b, ‘Science and Trans-Science’, Minerva 10, 209–222.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wierda, A., Veen, A. W. L., and Hutjes, R. W. A.: 1989, ‘Infiltration at the Tai Rain Forest (Ivory Coast): Measurements and Modelling’, Hydrol. Proc. 3, 371–382.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wigley, T. M. L.: 1994, ‘Outlook Becoming Hazier’, Nature 369, 709–710.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wigley, T. M. L.: 1995, ‘A Succesful Prediction?’, Nature 376, 463–464.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Williams, M. A. J. and Balling, R. C.: 1994, Interactions of Desertification and Climate, WMO/UNEP, Geneva, p. 230.

    Google Scholar 

  • Williams, J. and Coventry, R. J.: 1979, ‘The Contrasting Soil Hydrology of Red and Yellow Earths in a Landscape of Low Relief’, in The Hydrology of Areas of Low Precipitation, International Association of Hydrological Sciences, IAHS Publ. No. 128, pp. 385–395.

    Google Scholar 

  • Williamson, D. L., Kiehl, J. T., Ramanathan, V., Dickinson, R. E., and Hack, J. J.: 1987, Description of the NCAR Community Climate Model (CCMI), National Center for Atmospheric Research, Technical Note, NCAR/TN-285+STR, p. 112.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wood, E. F.: 1995, ‘Heterogeneity and Scaling Land-Atmosphere Water and Energy Fluxes in Climate Systems’, in Feddes, R. A. (ed.), Space and Time Scale Variability and Interdependencies in Hydrological Processes, UNESCO–Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 3–19.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yates, D. and Strzepek, K.: 1994 Comparisons of Models for Climate Change Assessment of River Basin Runoff, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (HASA), A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria, p. 48.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zahn, R.: 1994, ‘Fast Flickers in the Tropics’, Nature 372, 621–622.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1998 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Bonell, M. (1998). Possible Impacts of Climate Variability and Change on Tropical Forest Hydrology. In: Markham, A. (eds) Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Tropical Forest Ecosystems. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-2730-3_4

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-2730-3_4

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht

  • Print ISBN: 978-90-481-5046-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-94-017-2730-3

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics