Abstract
To examine the sensitivity of environmental systems to climatic variability and change, integrated model systems for climate impact assessment are being developed for New Zealand (CLIMPACTS) and Bangladesh (BDCLIM). Features common to both model systems include a global climate model, regional modules for generating climate scenarios, and models for biophysical impact analyses. For CLIMPACTS, modified ecosystem models for horticultural crops, arable crops, and pasture production are being incorporated. For BDCLIM, the emphasis is on analysis of possible changes in agroclimatic zones and hydrology, including the risks of floods and droughts. The initial emphasis of both systems is on nationwide spatial analyses, using simplified models as much as possible. The development of integrated model systems supports the needs of the respective countries in assessing scientific uncertainties, evaluating vulnerabilities, and identifying adaptation options as a basis for international reporting requirements under the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change and for policy and planning at national and regional levels. The major advantage of such integrated model systems is that they can readily be updated as the science of climate change advances, thus providing an evolving tool for future reassessments of climate impacts.
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Warrick, R.A., Kenny, G.J., Sims, G.C., Ericksen, N.J., Ahmad, Q.K., Mirza, M.Q. (1996). Integrated Model Systems for National Assessments of the Effects of Climate Change: Applications in New Zealand and Bangladesh. In: Erda, L., et al. Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation in Asia and the Pacific. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-1053-4_20
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-1053-4_20
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