Abstract
After examination of the natural variability of the climate system and the possible anthropogenic changes which may affect it over the next decades, the scientific basis for developing climate models is considered, with particular emphasis on the main uncertainties affecting our understanding of physical processes: role of clouds and oceans and fate of released carbon. The capability of model simulations to reproduce the actual climate and its variability is discussed. Climate change scenarios are then presented, both for equilibrium and transient conditions, and impacts of such predicted changes, such as sea-level rise, cyclone development and snow cover variations, are indicated. Finally, improvements in climate models that are likely to be achieved in the next future, are discussed.
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© 1994 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht
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André, JC. (1994). Numerical Models for the Simulation of Natural and Anthropogenic Climate Variations. In: Duckstein, L., Parent, E. (eds) Engineering Risk in Natural Resources Management. NATO ASI Series, vol 275. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-8271-1_5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-8271-1_5
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
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