Skip to main content

Long-term unemployment in Australia: problems of memory and measurement

  • Chapter
On the Mysteries of Unemployment

Part of the book series: Studies in Operational Regional Science ((SORS,volume 10))

  • 119 Accesses

Abstract

In Australian post-war economic history the last decade has seen a substantial increase in the unemployment rate and a concomitant increase in long-term unemployment (see Figures 1 and 2 and also Table 1).

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Akerlof, G.A. and J.L. Yellen (1985) ‘Unemployment through the filter of memory’, IN: Quarterly Journal of Economics, August, 100 (3), pp. 747–773.

    Google Scholar 

  • Anderson, O.D. (1976) Time series analysis and forecasting. The Box—Jenkins approach, London: Butterworths.

    Google Scholar 

  • Australian Bureau of Statistics (1986) Questionnaires used in the labour force survey,Canberra: Australian Bureau of Statistics, ABS catalogue No. 6232.0.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cass, B. (1988) Income support for the unemployed in Australia: Towards a more active system, (Issues Paper No. 4 ), Department of Social Security, Canberra.

    Google Scholar 

  • Department of Social Security (1989) DSS and ABS measures of unemployment, (Internal paper), Department of Social Security, Canberra.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dickey, D.A. and W.A. Fuller (1979) ‘Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root’, IN: Journal of the American Statistical Association,June, 74 (366), pp. 427–431.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dickey, D.A and W.A. Fuller (1981) ‘Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root’, IN: Econometrica, July, 49 (4), pp. 1057–1072.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Engle, R.F. and C.W.J. Granger (1987) ‘Cointegration and error correction representation, estimation and testing’, IN: Econometrica, March, 55 (2), pp. 251–276.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fuller, W.A. (1976) Introduction to statistical time series, New York: John Wiley and Sons.

    Google Scholar 

  • Junankar, P.N. and C.A. Kapuscinski (1990) The duration of unemployment in Australia: Memory and measurement, Centre for Economic Policy Research discussion, paper No. 238, Canberra: Australian National University.

    Google Scholar 

  • Karmel, T. (1989) The dynamics of unemployment duration data,Department of Employment, Education and Training, Economic and Policy Analysis Division, (Discussion paper No. 5), Canberra.

    Google Scholar 

  • Latham, J. (1976) Triangular graphs’, IN: Journal of Political Economy, June, 84 (3), pp. 623–630.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McAleer, M. (1987) ‘Specification tests for separate models: a survey’, IN: King, M.L. and D.E.A. Giles (eds.), Specification analysis in the linear model, London: Routledge and Kegan Paul, chapter 9, pp. 146–196.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mincer, J. and V. Zarnowitz (1969) The evaluation of economic forecasts’, IN: Mincer, J. (ed.), Economic forecasts and expectations, National Bureau of Economic Research, New York, chapter 1, pp. 3–46.

    Google Scholar 

  • Morgenstern, O. (1963) On the accuracy of economic observations,Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1963 (2nd edition).

    Google Scholar 

  • Murphy, C.W., I.A. Bright, R.J. Brooker, W.D. Geeves and B.K. Taplin (1986) A macro—economic model of the Australian economy for medium—term policy analysis,Office of the Economic Planning Advisory Council, (Technical paper No. 2), Canberra.

    Google Scholar 

  • O’Reilly, J.B. (1986) Discrepancies between the number of unemployment benefit recipients and the extent of recorded unemployment. An analysis of statistics from the Department of Social Security and the Australian Bureau of Statistics, Department of Employment, Education and Training, Labour Market and Economic Analysis Division, ( Internal paper ), Canberra.

    Google Scholar 

  • O’Reilly, J.B. (1989) Discrepancies between the number of unemployment benefit recipients and recorded (ABS) unemployment. An update, Department of Employment, Education and Training, Economic Analysis Branch, ( Internal paper ), Canberra.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ramsey, J.B. (1969) ‘Tests for specification errors in classical linear least—squares regression analysis’, IN: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (Series B), 31 (2), pp. 350–371.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sargan, J.D. and A. Bhargava (1983) ‘Testing residuals from least squares regression for being generated by the Gaussian random walk’, IN: Econometrica, January, 51 (1), pp. 153–174.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Solon, G. (1986) ‘Effects of rotation group bias on estimation of unemployment’, IN: Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, January, 4 (1), pp. 105–109.

    Google Scholar 

  • Trivedi, P.K. and W.T. Hui (1987) ‘An empirical study of long—term unemployment in Australia’, IN: Journal of Labour Economics, January, 5 (1), pp. 20–42.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • White, K.J. (1978) ‘A general computer programme for econometric methods–SHAZAM’, IN: Econometrica, January, 56 (1), pp. 239–240.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1992 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Junankar, P.N., Kapuscinski, C.A. (1992). Long-term unemployment in Australia: problems of memory and measurement. In: Verhaar, C.H.A., Jansma, LG., de Goede, M.P.M., van Ophem, J.A.C., de Vries, A. (eds) On the Mysteries of Unemployment. Studies in Operational Regional Science, vol 10. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-8080-9_23

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-8080-9_23

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht

  • Print ISBN: 978-90-481-4206-4

  • Online ISBN: 978-94-015-8080-9

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics