Abstract
High- and middle-income Asian countries may not need further increase in rice production to meet domestic demand, as their population growth is slow and per capita rice consumption has been declining. Demand pressure will, however, remain strong in low-income countries that contain the bulk of Asian populations, because of continuous high population growth rates and positive income growth. Sustaining the historical growth in rice supply will be difficult if research and extension efforts target only the irrigated ecosystem, as farmers have almost achieved the maximum attainable yield for that ecosystem. The yield gap is large in the dominant rainfed ecosystems because of abiotic stresses and suboptimal use of inputs due to risks in rice cultivation.There is a need to strengthen systems-oriented rice research to develop crop management practices that avoid abiotic stresses, and high-yield varieties that can withstand temporary submergence and prolonged droughts.
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Hossain, M. (1997). Rice supply and demand in Asia: a socioeconomic and biophysical analysis. In: Teng, P.S., Kropff, M.J., ten Berge, H.F.M., Dent, J.B., Lansigan, F.P., van Laar, H.H. (eds) Applications of Systems Approaches at the Farm and Regional Levels Volume 1. Systems Approaches for Sustainable Agricultural Development, vol 5. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-5416-1_20
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