Skip to main content

Part of the book series: International Series in Intelligent Technologies ((ISIT,volume 18))

Abstract

We consider a series of companies in a supply chain, each of which orders from its immediate upstream collaborators. Usually, the retailer’s order do not coincide with the actual retail sales. The bullwhip effect refers to the phenomenon where orders to the supplier tend to have larger variance than sales to the buyer (i.e. demand distortion), and the distortion propagates upstream in an amplified form (i.e. variance amplification). We show that if the members of the supply chain share information with intelligent support technology, and agree on better and better fuzzy estimates (as time advances) on future sales for the upcoming period, then the bullwhip effect can be significantly reduced.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • C. Carlsson and R. Fullér, On possibilistic mean value and variance of fuzzy numbers. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 2001 (to appear).

    Google Scholar 

  • R. Goetschel and W. Voxman, Elementary Fuzzy Calculus, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 18(1986) 31–43.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • H.L. Lee, V. Padmanabhan and S. Whang, Information distortion in a supply chain: The bullwhip effect, Management Science, 43(1997) 546–558.

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • H.L. Lee, V. Padmanabhan and S. Whang, The Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chains, Shan Management Review, Spring 1997 93–102.

    Google Scholar 

  • J.A. Kahn, Inventories and the Volatility of Production, American Economic Rev., 77(1987)

    Google Scholar 

  • E.H. Mamdani and S. Assilian, An experiment in linquistic synthesis with a fuzzy logic controller. International Journal of Man-Machine Studies 7(1975) 1–13.

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • L.A. Zadeh, Fuzzy Sets, Information and Control, 8(1965) 338–353.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Hans-Jürgen Zimmermann Georgios Tselentis Maarten van Someren Georgios Dounias

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2002 Springer Science+Business Media New York

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Carlsson, C., Fullér, R. (2002). A Fuzzy Approach to Taming the Bullwhip Effect. In: Zimmermann, HJ., Tselentis, G., van Someren, M., Dounias, G. (eds) Advances in Computational Intelligence and Learning. International Series in Intelligent Technologies, vol 18. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-0324-7_17

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-0324-7_17

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht

  • Print ISBN: 978-94-010-3872-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-94-010-0324-7

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics