Abstract
The growing interest in the study of the future and the increasing number of organizations and commissions in this field, raises the question of how this area of study is to be distinguished from conventional planning. One may wonder about this question, since there would appear to be correspondence, or at least similarity, in that both are future-oriented and express thinking about the future. The thesis of this paper is that despite the similarity between planning and futures studies and their inter-relationship, it is possible and even desirable to distinguish between them, a distinction which has both analytical and practical significance. A conceptual framework based on this distinction will be presented and its implications examined.
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Notes
Y. Dror, “A Policy Science’s View of Futures Studies,” Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2 (1970), p. 3.
E.S. Cornish, “The Professional Futurist,” in K.R. Jung and J. Galtung, eds., Mankind 2000, Allen and Unwin, London, 1969, p. 247.
J. Friedmann, “A Conceptual Model for the Analysis of Planning Behavior,” Admin. Sci. Q., September 1967, p. 225.
Y. Dror, “The Planning Process: A Facet Design,” in F.J. Lyden and E.G. Miller, eds., Planning Programming Budgeting, Markham, Chicago, 1967, p. 99.
S. Beer, “The Liberty Machine,” Futures, December 1971, pp. 342–344.
C. de Houghton, And Now the Future. A PEP Survey of Futures Studies, PEP, London, 1971, p. 10.
M. Young, ed., Forecasting and the Social Sciences, Heinemann, London, 1968, p. 60.
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© 1980 Martinus Nijhoff Publishers bv, The Hague
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Shani, M. (1980). Futures Studies Versus Planning. In: Bilski, R., Galnoor, I., Inbar, D., Manor, Y., Sheffer, G. (eds) Can Planning Replace Politics?. The Van Leer Jerusalem Foundation Series, vol 4. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-8857-6_3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-8857-6_3
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
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