Chance and Degrees of Belief

  • D. H. Mellor
Part of the Australasian Studies in History and Philosophy of Science book series (AUST, volume 1)


Are there chances, and if so, what are they? These are still contentious questions. Like Salmon, I believe that there are chances, but I disagree with him about what they are. We do agree on some points, principally that chance is a species of objective probability, namely physical or statistical probability. Some thinkers have claimed to discern another species in this genus, namely the relational probability that inductive logic treats of. I doubt the claim: inductive probabilities are, I suspect, all descended from chances. Certainly most are, so chance is anyway the right species to study first. Whether it exhausts the genus is a question we can afford to leave open.


True Belief Inductive Logic Inductive Probability Dutch Book Bayesian Decision Theory 
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Copyright information

© D. Reidel Publishing Company 1982

Authors and Affiliations

  • D. H. Mellor
    • 1
  1. 1.Cambridge UniversityUK

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