Abstract
A probabilistic version of the Simplified Bishop Method is developed and used to calculate seismic fragility curves of dams that fail due to excessive permanent deformation. Many sources of uncertainty are considered: the dynamic amplification of peak acceleration, the strength parameters on the slip surface, the elevation of the phreatic line and the distribution of pore pressure, the permanent deformation of each wedge at the end of the motion, and various errors from simplifying mechanical assumptions.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Alonso, E.E. Risk Analysis of Slopes and its Application to Slopes in Canadian Sensitive Clays. Geotechnique, London, England 26:3 453–472.
Azzouz, A.S., L.C. Lee and S.M. Lacasse. A Three–Dimensional Probabilistic Approach to the New Liskeard Embankment Failure. Summer Program on Risk and Decision in Geotechnical Engineering, Dept. of Civil Eng., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, June 1976.
Baligh, M.M. and A.S. Azzouz. End Effects on Stability of Cohesive Slopes. J. Geotech. Eng. Div., ASCE 101:GT11 (1975)
Chwang, A.T. and G.W. Housner. Hydrodynamic Pressures on Sloping Dams During Earthquakes. Part I. Momentum Method. J. Fluid Mechanics 87 (1978) 335–341.
Cornell, C.A. First-Order Uncertainty Analysis of Soils Deformation and Stability. Proceedings, 1st International Conference, Applications of Statistics and Probability in Soil and Structural Engineering, pp. 129–144 ( Hong Kong University Press, Hong Kong. 1971 ).
Franklin, A.G. and F.K. Chang. Permanent Displacements of Earth Embankments by Newmark Sliding Block Analyses. Report 5, U.S. Army Engineer Waterways Experiment Station, Nov. 1977.
Makdisi, F.I. and H.B. Seed. Simplified Procedure for Evaluating Embankment Response. J. Geotech. Eng. Div., ASCE 105:GT12 (1979) 1427–1434.
Morlá-Catalán, J. and C.A. Cornell. Earth Slope Reliability by a Level-Crossing Method. J. Geotech. Eng. Div., ASCE 102:GT6 (1976).
Performance of El Infernillo and La Vallina Dams Including the Earthquake of March 14, 1979 (Comisión Federál de Electricidád, Mexico 5, D.F., Mexico, 1980 ).
Sarma, S.K. Response and Stability of Earth Dams During Strong Earthquakes. Misc. Paper GL-79-13, U.S. Army Engineer Waterways Experiment Station, Vicksburg, MS, 1979.
Vanmarcke, E.H. Reliability of Earth Slopes. J. Geotech. Eng. Div., ASCE 103:GT11 (1977).
Veneziano, D. Reliability Index of Slopes. I: Method of Analysis. Research Report R77-17, Dept. of Civil Eng., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, 1977.
Veneziano, D. and D.H. Camacho. Reliability Index of Slopes. II: Numerical Results and Approximations. Research Report R77-17, Dept. of Civil Eng., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, 1977.
Veneziano, D. and J. Antoniano. Reliability Analysis of Slopes: Frequency-Domain Method. J. Geotech. Eng. Div., ASCE 105:GT2 (1979).
Wu, T.H. and L.M. Draft. Safety Analysis of Slopes. J. Soil Mechanics and Foundations Div., ASCE 96:SM2 (1970).
Yucemen, M.S. and W.H. Tang. Long-Term Stability of Soil Slopes: A Reliability Approach. Proceedings, Second International Conference on Applications of Probability and Statistics to Soil and Structural Engineering, Aachen, Germany, Sept. 1975.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1983 Martinus Nijhoff Publishers, The Hague
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Veneziano, D. (1983). Seismic Safety of Rockfill Dams. In: Thoft-Christensen, P. (eds) Reliability Theory and Its Application in Structural and Soil Mechanics. NATO ASI Series, vol 70. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-6896-7_10
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-6896-7_10
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-94-009-6898-1
Online ISBN: 978-94-009-6896-7
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive