In this chapter we resolve two important issues which we raised in chapter 1. The first is the fact that probabilities obtained by direct measurement may not in practice obey the probability laws. Section 2.1 discusses true probabilities and measured probabilities, and considers the significance of the failure of measured probabilities to follow the probability laws. A new form of measurement, elaborative measurement, is introduced in Section 2.2. Elaboration is the key to all the techniques presented later.
KeywordsProbability Measurement Target Probability Objective Probability True Probability Daily Newspaper
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