Time-Dependent Stochastic Modelling of Fire Spread in Segregated Structures

  • A. Veevers
  • P. Manasse


A segregated structure is a unit comprising smaller, distinct ‘compartments’ or ‘volumes’ which are separated by various ‘barriers’. If a fire starts in one of these volumes it may spread to other volumes in the structure by breaching the interposed barriers. A general model to assess the risk from fire spreading through a structure in which one or more volumes is in some sense critical is introduced. The model is time-dependent, based upon failure-time probability distributions assigned to each barrier and embracing extreme value theory in the determination of the probability distribution of the time taken for a fire to reach a particular critical volume.


Target Volume Fire Safety Fire Spread Probabilistic Risk Assessment Ignition Probability 
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Copyright information

© Elsevier Science Publishers Ltd 1990

Authors and Affiliations

  • A. Veevers
    • 1
  • P. Manasse
    • 1
  1. 1.Department of Statistics and Computational MathemticsUniversity of LiverpoolLiverpoolEngland

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