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An Expected Risk Model for Rail Transport of Hazardous Materials

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Transport of Dangerous Goods

Abstract

A number of risk measures including those based on incident probability and population exposure have been developed for rail transport of hazardous materials (hazmat). This chapter presents an expected risk model, which incorporates the sequence of events leading to hazmat release from derailed railcars and the resulting consequence, and demonstrates its use on a realistic size problem instance from the United States. It was very interesting to note that although risk models developed for rail are distinct than those for roads, use of different models resulted in different solutions for rail transport of hazmat – much like for road transport.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    To clarify the track class of each segment, timetable speeds for passenger trains have been used. For example, the average speed of Southwest Chief passenger train, operating between Los Angeles and Chicago, was calculated and this value was then calibrated against the FRA track classification data to determine the track class.

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Correspondence to Morteza Bagheria .

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Bagheria, M., Vermab, M., Verter, V. (2012). An Expected Risk Model for Rail Transport of Hazardous Materials. In: Garbolino, E., Tkiouat, M., Yankevich, N., Lachtar, D. (eds) Transport of Dangerous Goods. NATO Science for Peace and Security Series C: Environmental Security. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-2684-0_8

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