Model of territorial distribution of CO₂ emissions reduction target in the transport sector

Abstract

In this paper CO2 emissions reduction targets in the Kyoto Protocol and in the energy policy of the EU are transferred to the transport sector. First, we analyze CO2 emissions from transport in the reference year (1990) and their evolution from 1990 to 2007. Later, we propose a nonlinear method ology for distributing the dynamic CO2 emissions reduction targets. We have applied the proposed distribution function for 2012 and 2020 to two territorial levels. The weighted distribution is based on per capita and per GDP CO2 emissions. Finally, we show the weighted targets found for each EU Member State and Spanish Autonomous Communities, compare them to the real achievements to date, and forecast them for the years the Kyoto and EU goals are to be met.