A Risk-Based Decision Analytic Approach to Assessing Multi-stakeholder Policy Problems

  • Mats Danielson
  • Love EkenbergEmail author
Part of the Advances in Natural and Technological Hazards Research book series (NTHR, volume 32)


The design of a public-private flood insurance system is a multi-stakeholder policy problem. The stakeholders include, among others, the public in the high-risk and low-risk areas, the insurance companies and the government. With an understanding of the preferences of the stakeholder groups, decision analysis can be a useful tool in establishing and ranking different policy alternatives. However, the design of a nation-wide insurance system involves handling imprecise information, including estimates of the stakeholders’ utilities, outcome probabilities and importance weightings. This chapter describes a general approach to analysing decision situations under risk involving multiple stakeholders. The approach was employed to assess options for designing a public-private flood insurance and reinsurance system in Hungary with a focus on the Tisza river basin. It complements the actual stakeholder process for this same purpose described in previous chapters of this book. The general method of probabilistic, multi-stakeholder analysis extends the use of utility functions for supporting evaluation of imprecise and uncertain information.


Flood insurance Multi-stakeholder policy problem Decision analysis Upper Tisza river basin 


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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of Computer and Systems SciencesStockholm UniversityStockholm, KistaSweden

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