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Market Segmentation and Income Distribution

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Consumer Demographics and Behaviour

Abstract

The eighth chapter discusses household income inequality in a number of countries. It examines its implications in terms of the purchasing power of different income groups. Concepts and measures of inequality and income elasticity and preference are introduced. This chapter then uses these concepts and measures in the classification of basic and progressive commodities and consumer preferences as income rises. Analyses of changing preferences for different commodities as income changes in selected countries with different cultures, population and income levels illustrate the basic nature of some commodities and preference for other commodities as affluence rises. The analyses include both arc-elasticity concepts and measures and income preference ratios for different types of commodities and household behaviour as income rises. The selected countries cover a wide geographical scope, a range of income levels and cultures. The chapter examines common trends and differences regarding preferences for given commodity groups as income rises. Some generic propositions are made based on the analyses undertaken for the selected countries.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    As stated in Chapter 1, the classification of tobacco as a basic commodity is not the opinion of the authors. Maddison (2003) in his historical review of expenditures in the United Kingdom aggregated tobacco with basic commodities such as food and beverages. A possible reason for this is the criteria followed by economists that commodities with an income elasticity of less than 1.00 are considered to be basic or inferior while those with an income elasticity above 1.00 are designated as progressive or superior commodities.

  2. 2.

    There is no similar household income information readily available for Malaysia, as the data from the household expenditure survey does not provide household incomes.

  3. 3.

    See Box 8.1 for a definition of the Gini Coefficient.

  4. 4.

    Estimate made by the authors from ABS (2006).

  5. 5.

    Data from the household expenditure survey for Malaysia is not available in a format that could be used for the estimation of the Gini Coefficient.

  6. 6.

    Although the OECD equivalent units scale is widely used, empirical evidence points that it tends to understate household economies of scale (Miniaci, Monfardini, & Weber, 2003; Banks, Blundell, & Stanner, 1998).

  7. 7.

    See Chapter 2, Section 2.3.

  8. 8.

    See Chapter 2, Sections 2.3 and 2.4.

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Correspondence to Jo M. Martins .

Appendices

Appendix 1: Gini Coefficient Estimation – Example

The following example uses data from a household income and expenditure survey conducted by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS, 2000).

Following the equation and notation in Box 8.1

$${\textbf{\textit{G = Gini}}}\;{\textbf{\textit{Coefficient}}} = {\textbf{\text{1}}} - \Sigma {{\textbf{\textit{(y}}}_{{\textbf{\textit{i} + 1}}} + {\textbf{\textit{y}}}_{\textbf{\textit{i}}}}\textbf{\textit{)}} \;{\textbf{\textit{(x}}}_{{\textbf{\textit{i} + 1}}} - {\textbf{\textit{x}}}_{\textbf{\textit{i}}} \textbf{\textit{)}}$$
 

Proportion

Household income quintile

Number of households

Household income

 

x i

y i

Q1

0.2

0.0366

Q2

0.2

0.0933

Q3

0.2

0.1621

Q4

0.2

0.2537

Q5

0.2

0.4543

 

Cumulative

(a)

(b)

(a)*(b)

Quintile

x i ∧

y i ∧

\( x_{i + 1} ^{\wedge}- x_{i}^{\wedge}\)

\( y_{i + 1} ^{\wedge}+ y_{i}^{\wedge}\)

 

Q1

0.2

0.0366

0.2

0.0366

0.0073

Q2

0.4

0.1299

0.2

0.1665

0.0333

Q3

0.6

0.2921

0.2

0.4220

0.0844

Q4

0.8

0.5458

0.2

0.8379

0.1676

Q5

1.0

1.0000

0.2

1.5458

0.3092

    

\(\sum {a\,^{*}\,b = }\)

0.6017

$${\textbf{\textit{G}}} = 1 - 0.6017 = \;\;\;{\textbf{0}}{\textbf{.3983}}\;{\textbf{or}}\;{\textbf{39}}{\textbf{.8\% }}$$

An alternative method for estimating the Gini Coefficient is using Simpson’s Rule

Cumulative

Quintile

x i ∧

y i ∧

\(\left(y_{i + 1} ^{\wedge} + y_i ^{\wedge}\right)/2\)

Q1

0.2

0.0366

0.0183

Q2

0.4

0.1299

0.0833

Q3

0.6

0.2921

0.2110

Q4

0.8

0.5458

0.4189

Q5

1.0

1.0000

0.7729

$$\begin{array}{l} \sum {\left[\left({\textrm{\textit{y}}}_{{\textrm{\textit{i}}} + 1} ^{\wedge} + {\textrm{\textit{y}}}_{\textrm{\textit{i}}} ^{\wedge}\right)/2\right]} = 1.5044 \\ \sum {\left\{ \left[\left({\textrm{\textit{y}}}_{{\textrm{\textit{i}}} + 1} ^{\wedge} + {\textrm{\textit{y}}}_{\textrm{\textit{i}}} ^{\wedge}\right)/2\right]/5\right\} = 0.30088} \\ \end{array}$$
$${\textbf{\textit{G}}} = 1 - \left(2\,^{*}\,0.30088\right) = 1 - 0.6017 = {\textbf{0}}{\textbf{.3983 or 39}}{\textbf{.8\% }}$$

Appendix 2: Arc Elasticity Estimation – Example

The following example uses data from India’s household expenditure survey for 2004–05 (NSSO, 2007) using total expenditures as surrogate for income.

Following the equation and notation in Box 8.2

$${\textbf{\textit{e}}} = {\textbf{\textit{arc}}}\;{\textbf{\textit{elasticity}}} = \textbf{\textit{[}}{\textbf{\textit{(y}}}_{\textbf{\textrm{1}}} {\textbf{ \textit{-- y}}}_{\textbf{\textrm{2}}}\textbf{\textit{)}}/{\textbf{\textit{(y}}}_{\textbf{\textrm{1}}} {\textbf{ + \textit{y}}}_{\textbf{\textrm{2}}}\textbf{\textit{)}}\textbf{\textit{]}}/\textbf{\textit{[(}}{\textbf{\textit{x}}}_{\textbf{\textrm{1}}} {\textbf{\textit{ -- x}}}_{\textbf{\textrm{2}}}\textbf{\textit{)}}/{\textbf{\textit{(x}}}_{\textbf{\textrm{1}}} {\textbf{ + \textit{x}}}_{\textbf{\textrm{2}}}\textbf{\textit{)]}}$$

Average 30-days household expenditure per capita (Rupees)

Expenditure Item

Lowest 20 percent

Highest 20 percent

Food

235.91

763.40

Transport

7.90

207.28

All items

421.97

2,391.28

The arc elasticity for food between the lowest and the highest 20 percent of households is estimated as follows

  • \(\begin{array}{ll}{\textbf{\textit{e}}}_{\textbf{f}} = \left\{ \left(235.91 - 763.40\right)/\left(235.91 + 763.40\right)\right\}/\\ \qquad \left\{ \left(421.97 - 2,391.28\right)/\left(421.97 + 2,391.28\right)\right\}\end{array}\)

  • \(\begin{array}{ll}{\textbf{\textit{e}}}_{\textbf{f}} = \left( - 527.49/999.31\right)/\left( - 1,969.31/2,813.25\right)\\ = - 0.52785/ - 0.70001 = {\textbf{0}}{\textbf{.754}}\end{array}\)

Note: The arc elasticity equation is slightly different from that in Box 8.2. The division by 2 of the numerator and denominator is not required.

The arc elasticity for transport between the lowest and the highest 20 percent of households is

  • \(\begin{array}{ll}{\textbf{\textit{e}}}_{\textbf{t}} = \left\{ \left(7.90 - 207.28\right)/\left(7.90 + 207.28\right)\right\}/\\ \left\{ \left(421.97 - 2,391.28\right)/\left(421.97 + 2,391.28\right)\right\}\end{array}\)

  • \(\begin{array}{ll}{\textbf{\textit{e}}}_{\textbf{t}} = \left( - 199.38/215.18\right)/\left( - 1,969.31/2,813.25\right)\\ = - 0.92657/ - 0.70001 = {\textbf{1}}{\textbf{.324}}\end{array}\)

Thus, food with an arc elasticity of less than 1.00 is considered to be inelastic or a basic commodity, as household expenditures on food tend to rise less than proportional as total expenditures increase from the lowest to the highest 20 percent of households. Transport with an arc elasticity of more than 1.00 is designated as elastic or a progressive (affluence) commodity as household expenditures on transport grow more than proportionately as household total expenditures increase from the lowest to the highest 20 percent of households.

Appendix 3: Income Preference Ratio Estimation – Example

The following example uses data from the 1999 household expenditure survey of Japan (SBJ, 2000).

 

Household monthly average expenditure (Yen)

Households from lowest to highest 20 percent

Current housing

Clothing and footwear

Personal care

All items

Q1

20,694

8,990

5,883

215,150

Q2

22,882

12,365

7,101

272,198

Q3

22,329

13,738

7,552

292,838

Q4

19,570

19,547

9,755

369,895

Q5

22,278

28,856

13,286

492,255

All households

21,408

17,024

8,809

335,115

Following the equation and notation in Box 8.3

$${\textbf{\textit{r}}}_{{\textbf{\textit{i}1}}} ^{\textbf{\textit{n}}} {\textbf{ = \textit{Income}}}\;{\textbf{\textit{Preference}}}\;{\textbf{\textit{Ratio}}} = \textbf{\textit{(g}}_{{\textbf{\textit{in}}}} {\textbf{/\textit{g}}}_{\textbf{\textit{i}1}}\textbf{\textit{)}}{\textbf{\textit{(G}}}_{{\textbf{\textit{in}}}} {\textbf{/\textit{G}}}_{{\textbf{\textit{i}1}}}\textbf{\textit{)}}$$

The IPRs for the current housing are

  • IPRQ1 = (20,694/21,408)/(215,150/335,115) = 0.9666/0.6420 = 1.506

  • IPRQ2 = (22,882/21,408)/(272,198/335,115) = 1.0689/0.8123 = 1.316

  • IPRQ3 = (22,329/21,408)/(292,838/335,115) = 1.0430/0.8738 = 1.194

  • IPRQ4 = (19,570/21,408)/(369,895/335,115) = 0.9141/1.1038 = 0.828

  • IPRQ5 = (22,278/21,408)/(492,255/335,115) = 1.0406/1.4689 = 0.708

The IPRs indicate that household expenditures on current housing fell more than proportionately as household income increased from the lowest to the highest 20 percent. This indicates that housing is a (B) basic commodity.

The IPRs for clothing and footwear are

  • IPRQ1 = (8,990/ 17,024)/(215,150/335,115) = 0.5281/0.6420 = 0.823

  • IPRQ2 = (12,365/ 17,024)/(272,198/335,115) = 0.7263/0.8123 = 0.894

  • IPRQ3 = (13,738/ 17,024)/(292,838/335,115) = 0.8070/0.8738 = 0.924

  • IPRQ4 = (19,547/ 17,024)/(369,895/335,115) = 1.1482/1.1038 = 1.040

  • IPRQ5 = (28,856/ 17,024)/(492,255/335,115) = 1.6950/1.4689 = 1.154

The IPRs show that household expenditures on clothing and footwear rose more than proportionately as household income increased from the lowest to the highest 20 percent. This would make clothing and footwear an (A) affluence/progressive commodity.

The IPRs for personal care are

  • IPRQ1 = (5,883/8,809)/(215,150/335,115) = 0.6678/0.6420 = 1.040

  • IPRQ2 = (7,101/8,809)/(272,198/335,115) = 0.8061/0.8123 = 0.992

  • IPRQ3 = (7,552/8,809)/(292,838/335,115) = 0.8573/0.8738 = 0.981

  • IPRQ4 = (9,755/8,809)/(369,895/335,115) = 1.1074/1.1038 =1.003

  • IPRQ5= (13,286/8,809)/(492,255/335,115) = 1.5082/1.4689 = 1.027

The IPRs for personal care indicate that expenditures on this item vary little as income rises from the lowest to the highest 20 percent. It has no consistent pattern. This would indicate that this commodity has no progression characteristics either upwards or downwards as household income rises and could be considered a (C) commodity.

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Martins, J.M., Yusuf, F., Swanson, D.A. (2011). Market Segmentation and Income Distribution. In: Consumer Demographics and Behaviour. The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis, vol 30. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-1855-5_8

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