Probabilistic Approach to Service Life Prediction of Concrete Structures Subjected to Load and Environmental Actions

  • Mitsuyoshi Akiyama
  • Dan M. Frangopol
  • Ikumasa Yoshida
  • Hiroaki Tsuruta
  • Takumi Shimomura
Conference paper
Part of the RILEM Bookseries book series (RILEM, volume 5)


In the design of reinforced concrete (RC) structures in a marine environment, it is important to consider the effects of this environment on structural long-term performance. In this paper, a time-dependent structural reliability analysis method taking the hazard associated with airborne chlorides into consideration is proposed. Also, a procedure to obtain the failure probabilities of RC structures in a marine environment updated by Sequential Monte Carlo Simulation (SMCS) is indicated. In this procedure, the corrosion crack width is used as observational data. For illustrative purposes, time-dependent reliability analyses are presented for one-way RC slabs in a marine environment. Using SMCS, multiple random variables related to observation information can be updated simultaneously. This is realized by taking into consideration the joint probability density functions of the random variables. The effects of the hazard associated with airborne chlorides and an inspection result of corrosion cracking on the updated estimate of one-way RC slab reliability are discussed in this study.


Flexural Strength Reinforced Concrete Failure Probability Crack Width Reinforced Concrete Beam 
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Copyright information

© RILEM 2011

Authors and Affiliations

  • Mitsuyoshi Akiyama
    • 1
  • Dan M. Frangopol
    • 2
  • Ikumasa Yoshida
    • 3
  • Hiroaki Tsuruta
    • 4
  • Takumi Shimomura
    • 5
  1. 1.Tohoku UniversitySendaiJapan
  2. 2.Lehigh UniversityBethlehemUSA
  3. 3.Tokyo City UniversitySetagayaJapan
  4. 4.Kansai UniversityOsakaJapan
  5. 5.Nagaoka University of TechnologyNiigataJapan

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