Application of Scenarios and Multi-Criteria Decision Making Tools in Flood Polder Planning

  • Andreas H. Schumann
  • David Nijssen


Effectiveness of technical flood control measures depends strongly on multiple characteristics of floods. Copulas can be applied for multivariate statistical descriptions of flood scenarios. However, the parameterisation of these multivariate statistical models involves many uncertainties. With regard to these known unknowns the multivariate statistical characteristics of flood scenarios can be handled as imprecise probabilities. Such imprecise probabilities can be specified by Fuzzy Numbers and integrated in a Multi Criteria Decision Making framework. Their application in a Multi Criteria Decision Making framework, which was developed for flood retention planning in a river basin, is demonstrated here with a case study.


Fuzzy Number Return Period Flood Event Flood Control Triangular Fuzzy Number 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.


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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Ruhr-University BochumChair of Hydrology and Water ManagementBochumGermany
  2. 2.Institute of HydrologyWater Resources Management and Environmental Engineering, Ruhr-University BochumBochumGermany

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