Fertility Scenarios for 27 European Countries, 2002–2052

  • Jakub Bijak
Part of the The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis book series (PSDE, volume 32)


This chapter summarizes assumptions about future developments of fertility in 27 European countries for the period 2002–2052. Fertility dynamics is presented in the context of a theoretical framework as well as in the context of fertility developments in Europe in the second half of the twentieth century. On this basis, knowledge-based expectations for the future are presented and subsequently quantified. The demographic scenarios obtained in that way are compared with ones applied in similar studies of national and worldwide population projections. The results of the study, the fertility scenarios for the selected European countries, are summarized in brief in the final section of this chapter.


Total Fertility Rate Demographic Transition Fertility Pattern Fertility Trend Postsocialist Country 
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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. 2013

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Division of Social Statistics and Demography, ESRC Centre for Population Change, Southampton Statistical Sciences Research InstituteUniversity of SouthamptonSouthamptonUK

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