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Can We Trust Long-Range Weather Forecasts?

  • Pascal J. Mailier
Conference paper
Part of the NATO Science for Peace and Security Series C: Environmental Security book series (NAPSC)

Abstract

Long-range weather forecasts are widely used in the energy industry, but too often their properties and limitations are not understood well enough. This chapter reviews the characteristics, methods and reliability of long-range weather prediction, and makes recommendations regarding its use. Despite their limited skill, long-range forecasts can still be a valuable tool for managing weather risk provided the necessary caution is exercised.

Keywords

Long-range weather prediction seasonal forecast weather risk management energy weather weather forecast quality 

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2010

Authors and Affiliations

  • Pascal J. Mailier
    • 1
  1. 1.Royal Meteorological Institute of BelgiumBrusselsBelgium

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