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Projections of Climate Change over Non-boreal East Europe During First Half of Twenty-First Century According to Results of a Transient RCM Experiment

  • Shimon O. Krichak
  • Pinhas Alpert
  • Pavel Kunin
Part of the NATO Science for Peace and Security Series C: Environmental Security book series (NAPSC)

Climate change trends over the southern east-Europe are evaluated according to results of a climate simulation experiment with the ICTP RegCM3 regional climate model driven from the lateral boundaries by results of ECHAM5/MPI-OM1 transient climate simulation from 1960 to 2060 (SRES A1B emission scenario after 2001). The trends projected include — precipitation: winter and spring — rise over the central east-Europe and drop over the eastern Mediterranean region, summer-autumn — drop over east-Europe and northern eastern-Mediterranean, rise over the Middle East (especially in autumn); 2-m air temperature: winter and spring — rise over the whole region with a maximum over its eastern and north-eastern (especially) and south-eastern parts, summer — rise with a maximum over the Middle East and minimum over north-eastern part, autumn — rise with maximum over the Caspian, Black Seas and northern areas of the European Territory of Russia.

Keywords

regional climate model climatic change East Europe 

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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2009

Authors and Affiliations

  • Shimon O. Krichak
    • 1
  • Pinhas Alpert
    • 1
  • Pavel Kunin
    • 1
  1. 1.Department of Geophysics and Planetary SciencesRaymond and Beverly Sackler Faculty of Exact Sciences, Tel Aviv University, Ramat AvivTel AvivIsrael

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