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Long-Term Forecasting of Natural Disasters Under Projected Climate Changes in Ukraine

  • Yuriy V. Kostyuchenko
  • Yulia Bilous
Part of the NATO Science for Peace and Security Series C: Environmental Security book series (NAPSC)

An approach is proposed that allows the development of coherent scenarios of climate changes, ecosystems evolution, and trends of hydrological and hydro-meteorological disasters. This provides the base for more adequate and accurate forecasting of disasters, and to integrate the developed forecasts into the decision making systems. The approach allows the examination of regional risks features in the context of global changes, permits the analysis of both the general and separated peculiarities of dangerous processes and, finally, builds the disaster management measures into the regional land-use and development strategies.

Keywords

natural disaster climate change Ukraine projection risk assessment 

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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2009

Authors and Affiliations

  • Yuriy V. Kostyuchenko
    • 1
  • Yulia Bilous
    • 1
  1. 1.Scientific Centre for Aerospace Research of the EarthInstitute of Geological Sciences, National Academy of Sciences of UkraineKievUkraine

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