Abstract
Adaptive governance is a pattern that began to emerge from conflicts over natural resources in the American West a few decades ago, as a pragmatic response to the manifest failures of scientific management. Around the turn of the twentieth century, “Scientific management aspired to rise above politics, relying on science as the foundation for efficient policies made through a single central authority – a bureaucratic structure with the appropriate mandate, jurisdiction, and expert personnel” (Brunner et al. 2005, p. 2).1 But during the last century it became increasingly clear that effective control was dispersed among multiple authorities and interest groups, that efficiency was only one of the many goals to be reconciled in policy decision processes, and that science itself was politically contested. Scientific management typically leads to gridlock in these circumstances. Adaptive governance addresses these twenty-first century realities by proceeding principally but not exclusively from the bottom up rather than the top down. Each local community can integrate scientific and local knowledge into policies to advance its common interest, recognizing that politics are unavoidable. Many communities working in parallel can harvest their collective experience, to make successful innovations anywhere in the network available for voluntary adaptation elsewhere, and to clarify their common needs for higher-level authorities. The emerging pattern of adaptive governance is not limited to natural resource problems.2
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- 1.
For more on scientific management, see also Brunner et al. (2002).
- 2.
- 3.
The IPCC may be the most authoritative source on the established framing, but it is not the first or only one. Elements can be traced back to the International Geosphere–Biosphere Programme (IGBP 1990) which began meeting in September 1986; to the Committee on Earth Sciences (1989a, b), and to a special issue of Scientific American introduced by Clark (1989). For an early critique of the established framing by the former Director of Research of the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, see Tennekes (1990).
- 4.
Worldwide damages from major hurricanes increased from $24 billion in the 1980s to $113 billion in the 1990s and $272 billion in this decade through 2005, according to the Earth Policy Institute (www.earth-policy.org/Updates/2006/) using data from Munich Re. Current UNFCCC data on national trends show that greenhouse gas emissions increased 13.4% from 1990 to 2003 in the US, and by almost as much on average in other industrial countries outside the former Soviet bloc (http://ghg.unfccc.int/). Another major reason for these disappointing outcomes is the lack of political will to enforce targets and timetables for greenhouse gas reductions.
- 5.
The most recent summary of the Barrow research is Lynch and Brunner (2007). The most extensive is Lynch et al. (2004) which includes Chap. 6 on “Policy Responses,” pp. 67–132. On policy, see also Brunner et al. (2004). For further information on the project, see http://nome.colorado.edu/HARC/index.html. The integrative and policy aspects of this research were based on the policy sciences (Lasswell 1971); there was no need to create another conceptual framework. Among the partial corroborations of our substantive findings and proposals, the most comprehensive is Rayner and Malone (1998). Representative of other contributions is Morgan et al. (2005).
- 6.
The Alaska Native Claims Settlement Act of 1971 opened the door to development of the oil industry around Prudhoe Bay. Incorporation of the North Slope Borough in 1972 authorized the Borough to levy property taxes. Most of the Borough’s property tax revenues come from Prudhoe Bay, which is located in the Borough about 200 miles east of Barrow.
- 7.
Sea level pressure drives atmospheric circulation, which in turn is a “key determinant” of not only weather, but ocean transports, sea ice drift, and water mass formation. See Walsh et al. (2002, sec. 3a), and Zhang et al. (2002). More generally, on the challenges of prediction in the Arctic system, see Walsh et al. (2005) and Cassano et al. (2006).
- 8.
Indeterminancy is used in about the same sense by Rayner and Malone (1998, p. 120).
- 9.
Gould (1989, p. 283) takes contingency as the “the central principle of all history” including natural history. A solid-state physicist and Nobel Prize laureate, Philip Anderson as quoted in Horgan (1995, p. 109), concurs that “life is shaped less by deterministic laws than by contingent unpredictable circumstances.” See also Anderson (1972) and Frodeman (1995).
- 10.
For more on context-sensitive methods and epistemology, see Brunner (2006).
- 11.
Lasswell (1951, p. 524, his emphasis), which elaborates and concludes that “it is the growth of insight, not simply of the capacity of the observer to predict the future operation of an automatic compulsion, or of a non-personal factor, that represents the major contribution of the scientific study of interpersonal relations to policy.”
- 12.
The termination was announced in the Army Corps’ briefing on the Barrow Storm Damage Reduction Project in Barrow on August 23, 2006.
- 13.
The US Army Corps of Engineers cited this authority in a Section 117 Project Fact Sheet (May 17, 2006) for a project in Shishmaref, along with a section from the Senate Report 109-84 (p. 41) for the Energy and Water Development Appropriations Act of 2006 (P.L. 108-103): “The Committee has provided $2,400,000 for Alaska Coastal Erosion. The following communities are eligible recipients of these funds: Kivalina, Newtok, Shishmaref, Koyukuk, Barrow, Kaktovik, Point Hope, Unalakleet, and Bethel. Section 117 of Public Law 108-447 will apply to this project.”
- 14.
It is questionable whether the dike under consideration in the joint feasibility study – with four breaks to provide Barrow residents with access to the sea – will protect the utilidor effectively or efficiently from flooding and erosion. The dike may be better adapted to what the Corps is able to do than to what Barrow needs.
- 15.
On Shismaref, see US GAO (2003, pp. 32–34).
- 16.
- 17.
Compare McDougal et al. (1981, p. 209): “In some contexts, decentralization may maximize the potential for democratic participation at lower levels of interaction, permit the most rapid decision, encourage the establishment of appropriate specialized arenas, be most sensitive to the special circumstances and conditions prevailing in sub-arenas, and allow for the widest range of diverse cultural forms in constitutive decision.” For more on other constitutive criteria, including representative and responsible participation, see pp. 201–222 in the same volume.
- 18.
Compare Rayner and Malone (1998, pp. 113–114): “Adaptation is by nature a variegated response…. That is to say, adaptation is a bottom-up strategy that starts with changes and pressures experienced in people’s daily lives.”
- 19.
For an introduction to the common interest, see Brunner et al. (2002, pp. 8–18), and the literature cited there.
- 20.
There was no need to divert attention to creating frameworks for contextual, problem-oriented, and multi-method inquiry. A satisfactory framework already existed in the policy sciences. See Lasswell (1971) and related works.
- 21.
Compare Rayner and Malone (1998, p. 126): “Effective communication about climate change issues requires understanding of the frames of reference being used by all participants.”
- 22.
For purposes of comparison with research not adapted to Barrow’s unique needs and capabilities, the lead author showed a copy of the Arctic Climate Impact Assessment (2004) to ten people involved in addressing some part of Barrow’s vulnerability to big storms in March 2006. Only two were aware of the assessment; none had read it.
- 23.
This paraphrases Stanford economist Paul Romer who is quoted in Friedman (2005).
- 24.
Farrell and Hart (1998, p. 7) offers a working definition of sustainability that is compatible with the common interest as defined here: “improving the quality of human life while living within the carrying capacity of supporting ecosystems.” But both the quality of life and the carrying capacity of supporting ecosystems are contingent on differences and changes in contexts.
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Brunner, R.D., Lynch, A.H. (2010). Adaptive Governance: Proposals for Climate Change Science, Policy and Decision Making. In: Sumi, A., Fukushi, K., Hiramatsu, A. (eds) Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies for Climate Change. Springer, Tokyo. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-99798-6_17
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