Towards Validating a Model of Households and Societies in East Africa

  • William G. Kennedy
  • Chenna Reddy Cotla
  • Tim Gulden
  • Mark Coletti
  • Claudio Cioffi-Revilla
Conference paper
Part of the Agent-Based Social Systems book series (ABSS, volume 11)

Abstract

One of the major challenges of social simulations is the validation of the models. When modeling societies, where experimentation is not practical or ethical, validation of models is inherently difficult. However, one of the significant strengths of the agent-based modeling (ABM) approach is that it begins with the implementation of a theory of behavior for relatively low-level agents and then produces high-level behaviors emerging from the low-level theory’s implementation. Our ABM model of societies is based on modeling the decision making of rural households in a 1,600 km (1,000 mile) square around Lake Victoria in East Africa. We report on the first validation of our model of households making their living on a daily basis by comparing resulting activities against societal data collected by anthropologists.

Keywords

Agent-based modeling East Africa Household decision making 

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Copyright information

© Springer Japan 2014

Authors and Affiliations

  • William G. Kennedy
    • 1
  • Chenna Reddy Cotla
    • 1
  • Tim Gulden
    • 1
  • Mark Coletti
    • 1
  • Claudio Cioffi-Revilla
    • 1
  1. 1.Center for Social Complexity, Krasnow Institute for Advanced StudyGeorge Mason UniversityFairfaxUSA

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