Diffusion of Electric Vehicles: An Agent-Based Modelling Approach

  • David M. RamseyEmail author
  • Anna Kowalska-Pyzalska
  • Karolina Bienias
Part of the Lecture Notes in Computer Science book series (LNCS, volume 11290)


In recent years, most European governments have clearly stated their aims to promote the production and sale of electrical vehicles (EVs), which are seen to be an environmentally-friendly means of transport. At the beginning of 2018, the Polish government introduced legislation to promote the diffusion of electric vehicles. In conjunction with this, the authors present some preliminary work on a major study on the diffusion of EVs on the Polish market. This project aims to simulate the behaviour of the market using an agent-based model, which will be based on the results of a survey carried out among the purchasers of new cars in two major Polish cities, Wrocław and Katowice. Agent-based models allow the decision of agents to be affected by interactions with neighbours. The diffusion of EVs in Poland is at its very beginning, but according to experts the perspectives for further market development are promising. This article describes some of the basic factors behind a household’s decision to buy an EV. A simple model is presented, together with a discussion of how such a model will be adapted to take into account the results from the study.


Electric vehicles Diffusion of innovation Agent-based modelling Influence of neighbours 



This work was supported by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education (MNiSW, Poland) core funding for statutory R&D activities.


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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2018

Authors and Affiliations

  • David M. Ramsey
    • 1
    Email author
  • Anna Kowalska-Pyzalska
    • 1
  • Karolina Bienias
    • 1
  1. 1.Department of Operation Research, Faculty of Computer Science and ManagementWroclaw University of Science and TechnologyWroclawPoland

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