Skip to main content

Problems of Evaluating R&D Projects as Real Options

  • Chapter
Risk Management
  • 958 Accesses

Abstract

For evaluation purposes, it is suggested that R&D projects might be treated as real options. Unfortunately, this is not as easy as it seems. In the very early stages of strategically important projects, firms want to keep the project information secret. Therefore, a market cannot develop for such projects. In later stages, the opportunities to exercise options is probably quite limited. Thus in these stages, more traditional evaluation criteria, such as expected NPV, appear to be sufficient for many practical purposes. In the article, we discuss this “evaluation dilemma.”

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 74.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Bamberg,G.; Coenenberg, A.G. (1996): „Betriebswirtschaftliche Entscheidungslehre“, 9.A., München 1996.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bellman, R.E. (1967): „Dynamic Programming“, Princeton, NJ 1967.

    Google Scholar 

  • Black. F.; Scholes, M. (1973): „The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities“, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 81, pp. 637–654.

    Google Scholar 

  • Braun, H.; Brockhoff, K., (1988): „PED–Ein Programm zur optimalen Planung der Entwicklungsdauer“, Zeitschrift für betriebswirtschaftliche Forschung, Sonderheft 23, S. 74–85.

    Google Scholar 

  • Brockhoff, K. (1969): „Forschungsplanung im Unternehmen “,Wiesbaden.

    Google Scholar 

  • Brockhoff, K., (1996): „Synthesekautschuk: Strategische Aspekte von Stop-and-GoEntscheidungen in der Entwicklung, in: Brockhoff, K., edt., „Management von Innovationen“,Wiesbaden, pp. 125–137.

    Google Scholar 

  • Brockhoff, K., (1999): „Forschung und Entwicklung. Planung und Kontrolle.“, S.A., München, Wien.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Graham, M.B.W., Pruitt, B.H. (1990): „RandD for Industry. A Century of Technical Innovation at Alcoa“, Cambridge 1990.

    Google Scholar 

  • Greenberg, D. (1992): „Applying Option Theory to Investments in RandD“, PhD Diss, Univ. of Houston, Texas.

    Google Scholar 

  • Henke, M. (1972): „Zum Stoppen von Forschungs-und Entwicklungsprojekten“, Zeitschrift für die gesamte Staatswissenschaft, Vol. 128, pp. 39–64.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hounshell, D.A.; Smith, K.J., jr. (1989): „Science and Corporate Strategy. Research and Development at Du Pont 1908 to 1980“, Cambridge 1989.

    Google Scholar 

  • Koch, Ch. (1999): „Optionsbasierte Unternehmensbewertung: Realoptionen im Rahmen von Akquisitionen “,Wiesbaden 1999.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mason, S.P.; Merton, R.C. (1985): „The Role of Contingent Claims Analysis in Corporate Finance“, in: Altman, E.I., Subrahmanyam, M.G., Edt., „Recent Advances in Corporate Finance ”, Homewood, IL.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mitchell, G.R.; Hamilton, W.F. (1988): „Managing RandD as a Strategic Option“, Research. Technology Management, Vol. 31, pp. 15–22.

    Google Scholar 

  • Modigliani, F.; Cohen, K.J. (1961): „The Role of Anticipations and Plans in Economic Behavior and their Use in Economic Analysis and Forecasting“, University of Illinois Bulletin,Vol. 58, No. 38.

    Google Scholar 

  • National Science Foundation (1959): „Methodology of Statistics on Research and Development“, Washington, DC.

    Google Scholar 

  • Newton, D.P.; Pearson, A.W. (1994): „Application of Option Pricing Theory to RandD“, RandD Management, Vol. 24, pp. 83–89.

    Google Scholar 

  • Norstrom, C.J. (1970): „The Abandonment Decision under Uncertainty“, Swedish Journal of Economics, Vol. 72, pp. 124–129.

    Google Scholar 

  • OECD (1992): Frascati Manual 1992,„Proposed Standard Practice for Surveys of Research and Experimental Development“, Paris.

    Google Scholar 

  • Reinganum, J.F. (1981): „Dynamic Games of Innovation“, Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 25, pp. 21–41.

    Google Scholar 

  • Reinhardt, H.Ch. (1997): „Kapitalmarktorientierte Bewertung industrieller FandEProjekte“, Wiesbaden 1997.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schneeweiß, H. (1966): „Entscheidungen bei Risiko“, Berlin, Heidelberg, New York. Schütt, K.P. (1981): „ Wahrscheinlichkeitsschätzungen im Computer-Dialog”, Stuttgart.

    Google Scholar 

  • Warschkow, K., (1993): „Organisation und Budgetierung zentraler FandE-Bereiche“,Stuttgart.

    Google Scholar 

  • Weingartner, H.M. (1967): „Mathematical Programming and the Analysis of Capital Budgeting Problems “, Chicago, IL.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2000 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Brockhoff, K. (2000). Problems of Evaluating R&D Projects as Real Options. In: Frenkel, M., Hommel, U., Rudolf, M. (eds) Risk Management. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-04008-9_11

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-04008-9_11

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-662-04010-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-662-04008-9

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics