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Natural Gas Trade in Europe and Interactive Decision Analysis

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Book cover Large-Scale Modelling and Interactive Decision Analysis

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems ((LNE,volume 273))

Abstract

The IIASA International Gas Study focuses on the development of the European energy system with special emphasis on the evolution of the natural gas market. The competitiveness of natural gas in the various energy end-use markets, resource availability, long term gas supply options and implications on international trade are investigated. Studying natural gas trade requires the analysis of complex decision problems with several interest groups involved.

In the next chapters an outline of the International Gas Study performed at IIASA is given, followed by a description of the overall methodological approach used to model the development of the energy system. In particular the setup of the Gas Trade Model (GATE) and some findings are presented. This Gas Trade Model is based on the decision support system DID ASS [1], which is applied to simulate the decisions of the partners involved in international gas trade in Europe. It turned out to be very instrumental in the investigation of different strategies regarding the future development of gas trade.

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References

  1. M. Grauer, A. Lewandowski and A.P. Wierzbicki. DID ASS—theory, implementa¬tion and experiences. In M. Grauer and A.P. Wierzbicki (Eds.). Interactive Decision Analysis. Springer-Verlag. Berlin, 1984.

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  2. M. Valais, P. Boisserpe and J.L. Gadon. The World Gas Industry. Editions Tech-nip. Paris, 1982.

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  3. C. Marchetti and N. Nakicenovic. The Dynamics of Energy Systems and the Logistic Substitution Model. Research Report RR-79–13, International Insti¬tute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, 1979.

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  4. S. Messner. User’s Guide for the Matrix Generator of MESSAGE II. Working Paper WP-84–71. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, 1984.

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  5. H-H. Rogner, S. Messner and M. Strubegger. European Gas Trade: A Quantitative Approach. Working Paper WP-84–44. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, 1984.

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  6. M. Grauer, S. Messner and M. Strubegger. An Integrated Programming Package for Multiple-Criteria Decision Analysis. In: Plural Rationality and Interactive Decision Processes. Springer-Verlag. Berlin, 1985.

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© 1986 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

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Messner, S. (1986). Natural Gas Trade in Europe and Interactive Decision Analysis. In: Fandel, G., Grauer, M., Kurzhanski, A., Wierzbicki, A.P. (eds) Large-Scale Modelling and Interactive Decision Analysis. Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, vol 273. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-02473-7_29

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-02473-7_29

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-16785-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-662-02473-7

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

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