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Analysis and Presentation of the Development Status of Vehicle Technologies for Electrification and Automation by Creating a Technology Calendar

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Abstract

The automotive industry is experiencing fundamental changes due to the current developments in electrification, connectivity and automation. Companies are therefore faced with the question of which technologies and products will be relevant in the future. This applies equally to OEMs and the entire supplier chain. With the technology calendar TKBW presented here, the expected technological developments of passenger cars are described until 2035 on the basis of more than 40 modules, i.e. technology groups, with almost 150 technologies in the areas of propulsion, connectivity and automation. It is thus significantly more comprehensive than other roadmaps and is aimed at small and medium-sized companies that need to strategically align themselves in the technology shift. Maturity of the technologies is characterized by technology and manufacturing readiness levels. This paper describes the methodology used (including roadmapping, Delphi survey and patent research) and explains by means of exemplary findings how the results can be used to find new technology and business opportunities. The work resulted in three products, which can be accessed at www.tkbw.de: a guideline describing the big picture, a module catalog presenting technology roadmaps for each module, and technology fact sheets as a structured reference book.

Keywords

  • Technology roadmap
  • Future development
  • Automotive trends

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Fig. 1.

(own illustration based on [7] with icons made by Freepik, Payungkead, Surang, Pixel Perfect, Phatplus, Good Ware and Smashicons from www.flaticon.com).

Fig. 2.

(own visualization translated from [10]).

Fig. 3.

(own visualization, translated from [11]).

Fig. 4.

(own visualization with the DLR TechScout from [10]).

Fig. 5.

(own visualization following [7]).

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Acknowledgements

We would like to thank the state agency e-mobil BW for their valuable support during the project and the Ministry of Economics, Labor and Housing Baden-Württemberg (Ministerium für Wirtschaft, Arbeit und Wohnungsbau Baden-Württemberg) for funding the “TKBW” project. The responsibility for the content of this work lies with the authors.

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Correspondence to Christian Ulrich .

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Ulrich, C. et al. (2021). Analysis and Presentation of the Development Status of Vehicle Technologies for Electrification and Automation by Creating a Technology Calendar. In: Bargende, M., Reuss, HC., Wagner, A. (eds) 21. Internationales Stuttgarter Symposium. Proceedings. Springer Vieweg, Wiesbaden. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-33466-6_22

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