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The Development of FESTOS Scenarios

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Envisioning Uncertain Futures

Part of the book series: Zukunft und Forschung ((ZUFORSCH))

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Abstract

In this paper I describe the process of developing scenarios in the research project FESTOS; which was funded within the framework of the EU security program between 2009 - 2012. Its focus was on an intended misuse of future technologies by terrorists and organized crime for attacks or felonies. The article describes the step by step procedure of the development process. The narratives include individual, societal, political and economic impacts. The article shows the approach, the completion and the validation of narrative scenarios and ends with a suggestion of how scenarios might be useful to identify indicators, as a monitoring instrument to assess the potential for similar events.

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Berlin, Germany

    Roman Peperhove

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  1. Roman Peperhove
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Correspondence to Roman Peperhove .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Berlin, Berlin, Germany

    Roman Peperhove

  2. Berlin, Germany

    Karlheinz Steinmüller

  3. Berlin, Berlin, Germany

    Hans-Liudger Dienel

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Peperhove, R. (2018). The Development of FESTOS Scenarios. In: Peperhove, R., Steinmüller, K., Dienel, HL. (eds) Envisioning Uncertain Futures . Zukunft und Forschung. Springer VS, Wiesbaden. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-25074-4_12

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