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China’s Rise and the U.S Pivot to Asia: The Implications of Trans-Pacific Partnership on the Regional Economic Architecture

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The Changing East Asian Security Landscape

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Abstract

China is a rising power concerning its economic and political influence in the Asia-Pacific region. The past decade has witnessed Beijing’s active participation in multilateral institutions and regional integration processes, from ASEAN + 1 and ASEAN + 3 mechanisms, Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), to the discussion of the Free Trade Area of the Asia-Pacific (FTAAP). China’s economic influence in the region has been undoubtedly proliferating: in 2010 China officially surpassed Japan as the largest economy in Asia and the second largest after the U.S.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Kang points out that it may be more accurate to characterize China as an emerging power for the historical dominant status in the region. However, this article opts for using the term “rising power” for the discussion is about the modern instead of the empirical China. See Kang, D. C. (2009). Between Balancing and Bandwagoning: South Korea’s Response to China. Journal of East Asian Studies 9(1), 1–28.

  2. 2.

    However, Lieber and Alexander argue that the discussion of soft balancing is much ado about nothing. The behaviors are simply normal diplomatic fiction instead of soft balancing strategies.

  3. 3.

    For the thorough discussion of regional security architecture, see Williams T. Tow and Brendan Taylor (2010). “What is Asian Security Architecture?” Review of International Studies 36(1): 95–116. Regarding the security mechanisms in the Asia-Pacific in the postwar era, it has been marked by the coexistence of the U.S-led “hub-and-spokes” hierarchical bilateral systems, “mini-lateral” groupings, such as Trilateral Strategic Dialogue (TSD) and “Quadrilateral Initiative”; the ASEAN-led multilateral institutions, such as ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) and ASEAN Defense Ministers’ Meeting-Plus (ADMM-Plus); China-led Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO); together with some ad hoc multilateralism mechanisms, such as the Six Party Talks on North Korean denuclearization as well as Proliferation Security Initiatives (PSI).

  4. 4.

    Bilateral FTAs have been a new trend of development (e.g. South Korea-Japan, South Korea-Thailand, Singapore-Japan) since the 1997/1998 Asian Financial Crisis as the countries realized there was a lack of cooperative mechanisms among the region’s states to cope with such turbulent events. Since 2001–2002, by which time APEC had hot something of a brick wall in trade liberalization and WTO’s DOHA round failed to reach agreement, most East Asian governments became active promoters of bilateral and multilateral FTAs or Economic Partnership Agreements (EPAs).

  5. 5.

    The decline is also attributed to the Washington’s preoccupation with threats at the global level: international terrorism, “rogue states,” together with nuclear proliferation. See William T. Tow (2012). “Great Powers and Multilateralism: The Politics of Security Architectures in South Asia.” In ASEAN and the Institutionalization of East Asia, pp. 155–167. Edited by Ralf Emmers. Routledge: Oxon.

  6. 6.

    In addition to Waltz’s stance, some scholars argue for the presence of hard balancing in the wake of Cold War. See Layne, C. (2012). This Time It’s Real: The End of Unipolarity and the Pax Americana. International Studies Quarterly 56(1): 203–213; Steff, R. & Khoo, N. (2014). Hard Balancing in the Age of American Unipolarity: The Russian Response to U.S Ballistic Missile Defense During the Bush Administration (2001–2008). The Journal of Strategic Studies 37(2): 222–258.

  7. 7.

    Other scholarly discussion on soft balancing tactics against the U.S can refer to Paul, T. V. (2005). Soft Balancing in the Age of U.S. Primacy. International Security, 30(1), 46–71; Walt, S. M. (2006). Taming America Power: The Global Response to U.S Primacy. New York: W.W. Norton & Company, Inc.; Layne, C. (2006). The Unipolar Illusion Revisited: The Coming End of the United States’ Unipolar Moment. International Security 31(2): 7–41; Whitaker, B. E. (2010). Soft Balancing among Weak States? Evidence from Africa. International Affairs 86(5): 1109–1127; Ferguson, C. (2012). The Strategic Use of Soft Balancing: The Normative Dimensions of the Chinese–Russian ‘Strategic Partnership’. The Journal of Strategic Studies 35(2): 197–222.

  8. 8.

    Concluded on October 4, 2015, the text of the agreement will have to be signed and then ratified by all the 12 signatories. Details of how the deal will be carried out will be argued out in individual countries’ legislature.

  9. 9.

    Whether the economic goals of the TPP could be achieved because of the exclusion of China serving as a regional economic powerhouse; and that the TPP is not in line with the Asian style of “soft regionalism”. See Evelyn S. Devadason, “The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP): The Chinese Perspective,” Journal of Contemporary China 23, no. 87(2014): 474.

  10. 10.

    Jagannath P. Panda, “Factoring the RCEP and the TPP: China, India and the Politics of Regional Integration,” Strategic Analysis 38, no. 1(2014): 55. Other aspects of the U.S regional participation (including the U.S Marine’s revived presence in Australia and strengthened ties to countries such as Indonesia, Japan, the Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Thailand, and also Taiwan). However, the Chinese official’s view on TPP is more positive than U.S. view on AIIB or RCEP: “We hope that regardless of whether it is the TPP or the RCEP, they both can supplement, promote and be beneficial to strengthening the multilateral trade system,” said Chinese foreign ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying.

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Correspondence to Catherine Yuk-Ping Lo .

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Lo, C.YP. (2018). China’s Rise and the U.S Pivot to Asia: The Implications of Trans-Pacific Partnership on the Regional Economic Architecture. In: Fröhlich, S., Loewen, H. (eds) The Changing East Asian Security Landscape . Edition ZfAS. Springer VS, Wiesbaden. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-18894-8_6

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