Features of Individual Forecasts

  • Gunnar Brennscheidt
Part of the Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems book series (LNE, volume 403)


This chapter analyzes some features of individual forecasts which cannot be discussed in context with aggregate forecasts. In most sections of this chapter, the analysis is subdivided according to three groups which we already know from Sections 3.6 and 4.4 on influence of single exogenous variables:
  • Simple full-information experiments (Exp. 1–6 and 9),

  • Seasonality experiments (Exp. 7 and 8),

  • Incomplete-information experiments (Exp. 10–14).


Correct Answer Regression Result Exogenous Variable Time Relation Rational Prediction 
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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 1993

Authors and Affiliations

  • Gunnar Brennscheidt
    • 1
  1. 1.Institut für Ökonometrie und Operations ResearchUniversität BonnBonnGermany

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