Abstract
In 1885 Sir Ernest George Ravenstein published his seminal paper titled ’The laws of migration’ in the Journal of the Royal Statistical Association. Among other observations, he asserted the preeminence of the economic motivation for understanding geographic patterns of population movement. Since that time, a voluminous literature has developed on the analysis of human migration as influenced by, and influencing, geographic distributions of economic activity. Because a significant portion of all research appearing on migration takes off from Ravenstein’s century-old assertion about the primacy of the economic motivation, and because the multidisciplinary field of regional science provides a common meeting ground for scholars from economics, geography, sociology, and the various other disciplines in which the bulk of migration analysis appears, we believe that it is appropriate that migration is still one of the major themes in regional science research all over the world.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.
Buying options
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Learn about institutional subscriptionsPreview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Aigner, D. and S. Goldfeld (1974), Estimation and Prediction from Aggregate Data When Aggregates Are Measured More Accurately Than Their Components,Econometrica42: 113–134.
Alonso, W. (1968), Predicting Best with Imperfect Data,Journal of the American Institute of Planners34: 248–254.
Anas, A. and S. Eum (1984), Hedonic Analysis of the Housing Market in Disequilibrium,Journal of Urban Economics15: 87–106.
Bagshaw, M. and R. Johnson (1977), Sequential Procedures for Detecting Parameter Changes in a Time-Series Model,Journal of the American Statistical Association72: 593–600.
Batey, P. and M. Madden (1986),Integrated Analysis of Regional Systems. London, Pion.
Beaumont, P., A. Isserman, D. McMillen, D. Plane and P. Rogerson (1986), The ECESIS Economic-Demographic Model of the United States, in: A.M. Isserman (ed.),Population Change and the Economy: Social Science Theories and Models. Boston, Kluwer-Nijhoff.
Boyce, D. (1988), Renaissance of Large-Scale Models,Papers of the Regional Science Association65: 1–10.
Brown, D.L. and J.M. Wardwell (eds.) (1980),New Directions in Urban-Rural Migration: the Population Turnaround in Rural America. New York, Academic Press.
Chen, R. (1978), A Surveillance System for Congenital Malformations,Journal of the American Statistical Association73: 323–327.
Clark, W.A.V. (1986),Human Migration. Beverly Hills, Sage Publications, Scientific Geography Series, Volume 7.
Congdon, P. and P. Batey (eds.) (1989),Advances in Regional Demography: Forecasts. Information. Models. London, Belhaven Press.
Constantinou, S.T. and N.D. Diamantides (1985), Modeling International Migration: Determinants of Emigration from Greece to the United States, 1820–1980,Annals of the Association of American Geographers75: 352–369.
Dean, K.G. (1988), Interregional Flows of Economically Active Persons in France, 1975–1982,Demography25: 81 - 98.
Desbarats, J. (1985), Indochinese Resettlements in the United States,Annals of the Association of American Geographers75: 522–538.
Easterlin, R.A. (1973), Relative Economic Status and the American Fertility Swing, in: E.B. Sheldon (ed.),Family Economic Behavior: Problems and Prospects, pp. 170–223, New York, North Holland.
Easterlin, R.A. (1980),Birth and Fortune: The Impact of Numbers on Personal Welfare. New York, Basic Books.
Fair, R. and D. Jaffee (1972), Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium,Econometrica40: 497 - 514.
Fair, R. and H. Kelejian (1974), Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium: a Further Study,Econometrica42: 177–190.
Forbes, J. (1989), Migration Monitoring and Strategic Planning Policy, in: P. Congdon and P. Batey (eds.),Advances in Regional Demography: Information. Forecasts. Models, pp. 41–57, London, Belhaven Press.
Fotheringham, A.S. (1986), Modelling Hierarchical Destination Choice in Migration,Environment and Planning A18: 401–418.
Fotheringham, A.S. (1987), Hierarchical Destination Choice: Discussion with Evidence from Migration in The Netherlands,Working Paperno. 69, Netherlands Interuniversity Demographic Institute.
Frauenthal, J. and K. Swick (1983), Limit Cycle Oscillations of the Human Population,Demography20: 258–298.
Fuguitt, G.V., T.B. Heaton and D.T. Lichter (1988), Monitoring the Metropolitanization Process,Demography25: 115–128.
Gourieroux, C., J. Laffont and A. Monfort (1980), Disequilibrium Econometrics in Simultaneous Equations Systems,Econometrica48: 75–95.
Greenwood, M.J. (1975), Research on Internal Migration in the United States: A Survey,Journal of Economic Literature13: 397–433.
Greenwood, M.J. (1985), Human Migration: Theory, Models, and Empirical Studies,Journal of Regional Science25: 521–544.
Greenwood, M.J., P. Mueser, D.A. Plane and A. Schlottman (1990),New Directions in Migration Research: Perspectives from Economics. Geography. the Western Regional Science Association, February 1990.
Grunfeld, Y. and Z. Griliches (1960),Is Aggregation Necessarily Bad?, Review of Economics and Statistics42: 1–13.
Hall, P. and Hay, D. (1980),Growth Centres in the European Urban Systems. London, Heinemann Educational Books.
Hesse, H. (1949),Magister Ludi(translated from the German Das Glasperlenspiel by M. Savill), New York, F. Ungar.
Hildreth, C. and Houck, J. (1968), Some Estimators for a Linear Model with Random Coefficients,Journal of the American Statistical Association63: 584–595.
Holmberg, I. (1984), Model Migration Schedules - The Case of Sweden,Scandinavian Population Studies6: 181–195.
Hoover, E.M. and F. Giarratani (1984),An Introduction to Regional Economics( third edition ), New York, Alfred A. Knopf.
Hsu, D. (1979), Detecting Shifts of Parameters in Gamma Sequences with Applications to Stock Prices and Air Traffic Flow Analysis,Journal of the American Statistical Assocation74:31–40
Hudson, J.C. (1975), Some Observations on Migration Theory for an Urban System, in: L.A. Kosinski and R.M. Prothero (eds.),People on the Move, pp. 67–74, London, Methuen.
Huff, J.O. (1976), A Hierarchical Model of Population Redistribution Within a Central Place Hierarchy,Geographical Analysis8: 231–254.
Isserman, A.M. (ed.) (1986),Population Change and the Economy: Social Science Theories and Models. Boston, Kluwer-Nijhoff.
Isserman, A.M., D.A. Plane and D.B. McMillen (1982),Internal Migration in the United States: An Evaluation of Federal Data, Review of Public Data Use 10: 285–311.
Kander, Z. and S. Zacks (1966), Test Procedures for Possible Changes in Parameters of Statistical Distributions Occurring at Unknown Time Points,Annals of Mathematical Statistics37: 1196–1210.
Kephart, G. (1988), Heterogeneity and the Implied Dynamics of Regional Growth Rates: Was the Nonmetropolitan Turnaround an Artifact of Aggregation?,Demography25: 99–114.
Ledent, J. (1986),Forecasting InterregionalMigration: An Economic- Economy: Social Science Theories and Models, pp. 53–77, Boston, Kluwer- Nijhoff.
Lee, D. (1973), Requiem for Large-Scale Models,Journal of the American Institute of Planners39: 163–178.
Lee, R. (1974), The Formal Dynamics of Controlled Populations and the Echo, the Boom, and the Bust,Demography11: 563–585.
Maddala, G. and F. Nelson (1974), Maximum Likelihood Methods for Models of Markets in Disequilibrium,Econometrica42: 1013–1030.
Milne, W.J. (1981), Migration in an Interregional Macroeconomic Model of the United States: Will Net Outmigration from the Northeast Continue?,International Regional Science Review6: 71–83.
Morrison, P.A. (1973), Theoretical Issues in the Design of Population Mobility Models,Environment and Planning5: 125–134.
Mueser, P.R. and M.J. White (1989), Explaining the Association Between Rates of In-migration and Out-migration,Papers of the Regional Science Association67: 121–134.
Mulligan, G.F. (1983), Central Place Populations: A Microeconomic Consideration,Journal of Regional Science23: 83–92.
Muth, R.F. (1971), Migration: Chicken or Egg?,Southern Economic Journal37: 295-306.
Myers, G.C., R. McGinnis and G. Masnick (1967), The Duration of Residence Approach to a Dynamic Model of Internal Migration: A Test of the Axiom of Cumulative Inertia.Eugenics Quarterly14: 121–126.
Nicolis, G. and I. Prigogine (1977),Self-organization in Nonlinear Systems. New York, John Wiley.
Nugent, S. and H. Rampa (1989), Demographic Change at the Small-area Level: Implications for the Planning of Canberra, in: P. Congdon and P. Batey (eds.),Advances in Regional Demography: Information. Forecasts. Models, pp. 58–72, London, Belhaven Press.
Olsson, G. (1980), Birds in Egg/Eggs in Bird. London, Pion. Plane, D.A. (1982), An Information Theoretic Approach to the Estimation of Migration Flows,Journal of Regional Science22: 441–456.
Plane, D.A. (1984a), A Systemic Demographic Efficiency Analysis of U.S. Interstate Population Exchange, 1935-80,Economic Geography60: 294–312.
Plane, D.A. (1984b), Migration Space: Doubly Constrained Gravity Model Mapping of Relative Interstate Separation,Annals of the Association of American Geographers74: 244–256.
Plane, D.A. (1987), The Geographic Components of Change in a Migration System,Geographical Analysis19: 283 - 299.
Plane, D.A. (1990), A Perspective from Geography: The Spatial Choice Set, in: New Directions in Migration Research: Perspectives from Economics.Geography, and Sociology. M.J. Greenwood, P. Mueser, D.A. Plane, and A.
Schlottman.Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Western Regional Science Association, Molokai, Hawaii, February.
Plane, D.A. and P.A. Rogerson (1985),Economic-demographic Models for Forecasting Interregional Migration, Environment and Planning A 17: 185–198.
Plane, D.A. and P.A. Rogerson (1986),Dynamic Flow Modeling with Interregional Dependency Effects: An Application to Structural Change in the U.S. Migration System, Demography 23: 91–104.
Plane, D.A., P.A. Rogerson and A. Rosen (1984),The Cross-regional Variation of In-migration and Out-migration, Geographical Analysis 16: 162–175.
Quandt, R. (1958), The Estimation of the Parameters of a Linear Regression System Obeying Two Separate Regimes,Journal of the American Statistical Association53: 873–880.
Ravenstein, E.G. (1885), The Laws of Migration,Journal of the Royal Statistical Society48: 167–235.
Rees, P.H. and A.G. Wilson (1977),Spatial Population Analysis. London, Edward Arnold.
Rogers, A. (1975),Introduction to Multiregional Mathematical Demography. New York, John Wiley.
Rogers, A. (1985),The Migration Component in Multiregional Modeling: Measurement. Spatial Dynamics. Causal Knowledge, and Forecasting. Boulder, University of Colorado, Institute of Behavioral Science, Population Program, Working Paper WP-85-1.
Rogers, A. (1989), Requiem for the Net Migrant.Paper presented at the North American Meetings of the Regional Science Association, Santa Barbara, California, November.
Rogers, A., R. Raquillet and L.J. Castro (1978), Model Migration Schedules and Their Applications,Environment and Planning A10: 475–502.
Rogerson, P.A. (1983), Comparisons of Aggregate Variable Forecasts Using Aggregate and Disaggregate Models,Socio-economic Planning Sciences17: 373 - 380.
Rogerson, P.A. (1984), New Directions in the Modelling of Migration,Economic Geography60: 111–121.
Rogerson, P.A. (1985), Disequilibrium Adjustment Processes and Chaotic Dynamics,Geographical Analysis17: 185–198.
Rogerson, P.A. and D.A. Plane (1984), Modeling Temporal Change in Flow Matrices, Papers of the Regional Science Association54: 147–164.
Schaeffer, P.V. (1987), A Dynamical Model of Labor-market Change in International Migrations When Demand for Labor is Exogenous,Environment and Planning A19: 1051–1057.
Schaeffer, P.V. (1988), Guests Who Stay: Foreign Workers and Economic Development.Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Western Regional Science Association, Napa, CA.
Spencer, B. (1980),Benefit-cost Analysis of Data Used to Allocate Funds. New York, Springer-Verlag.
Srivastava, M. and K. Worsley (1986), Likelihood Ratio Tests for a Change in the Multivariate Normal Mean,Journal of the American Statistical Association81: 199–204.
Steinnes, D.N. (1978), Causality and Migration: a Statistical Resolution of the ’Chicken or Egg’Fowl-up, Southern Economic Journal45: 218–226.
Taylor, C. (1986), The Effects of Refining Demographic-economic Interactions in Regional Econometric Models, in: A.M. Isserman (ed.),Population Change and the Economy: Social Science Theories and Models. Boston, Kluwer-Nijhoff.
Vining, D.R.,Jr. and T. Kontuly (1978), Population Dispersal from Major Metropolitan Regions: an International Comparison,International Regional Science Review3: 49–73.
Vining, D.R.,Jr. and R. Pallone (1982),Migration between Core and Peripheral Regions: a Description and Tentative Explanation of the Patterns in 22 Countries, Geoforum 13: 339–410.
Vining, D.R.,Jr., R. Pallone and D.A. Plane (1981), Recent Migration Patterns in the Developed World: a Clarification of Some Differences Between Our and IIASA’s Findings,Environment and Planning A13: 243–250.
Wachter, K. and R. Lee (1989), U.S. Births and Limit Cycle Models,Demography26: 99–115.
Weidlich, W. and G. Haag (1986), Stochastic Migration Theory and Migration Phase Transitions, in: D.A. Griffith and R.P. Haining (eds.), Transformations Through Space and Time: an Analysis of Nonlinear Structures.Bifurcation Points and Autoregressive Dependencies, pp. 104–117, Dordrecht, Martinus Nijhoff.
White, S.E., L.A. Brown, W.A.V. Clark, P. Gober, R. Jones, K. McHugh and R.L. Morrill (1989),Population Geography, in: G.L. Gaile and C.J. Willmott (eds.), Geography in America. Merrill, Columbus, Ohio.
Willekens, F. and N. Baydar (1986), Forecasting Place-to-Place Migration with Generalized Linear Models, in: R. Woods and P. Rees (eds.),Population Structures and Models: Developments in Spatial Demography, pp. 203–244, London, Allen and Unwin.
Wilson, F.D. (1988), Components of Change in Migration and Destination- Propensity Rates for Metropolitan and Nonmetropolitan Areas: 1935–1980,Demography25: 129–140.
Worrall, L. (1988), Urban Demographic Information Systems, in: P. Congdon and P. Batey (eds.), Advances in RegionalDemography: Information. Forecasts. Models, pp. 25–40, London, Belhaven Press.
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1991 Springer-Verlag Berlin · Heidelberg
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Plane, D.A., Rogerson, P.A. (1991). The Ten Commandments of Migration Research. In: Boyce, D.E., Nijkamp, P., Shefer, D. (eds) Regional Science. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-76311-3_2
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-76311-3_2
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-76313-7
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-76311-3
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive