Comments on the Paper “Demographic Indicator Systems of Health Care Needs”

Part of the Health Systems Research book series (HEALTH)


G. Wilensky’s and S. Chapman’s paper examines the effects of demographic changes in population structure on health care expenditures in the past and their possible effects in the future. Due to the fact that the elderly portion of the population is expected to increase between now and the end of the century and beyond, they foresee a higher than proportional increase in health expenditures up to 2040, when it is predicted that the percentage of personal health care expenditures spent on the elderly will have risen to over 45% of total health care expenditures for the USA. They then critically review some of the assumptions of the stated predictions and suggest the development of long-term monitoring systems in order to describe long-term demographic trends, symptoms and diseases in a population as a basis for allocating health care resources in the future.


Health Service Health Care Expenditure Health Service System Total Health Care Expenditure Health Service Financing 
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© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 1987

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