Prediction of North Sea Storm Surges Using Numerical Models: Recent Developments in U. K.
A storm surge prediction scheme developed at IOS Bidston and making use of numerical models of the atmosphere and of the sea has been in routine operation at the U.K. Meteorological Office, Bracknell, for three surge seasons. The system employs a basic sea model (Fig. 1) covering the continental shelf seas surrounding the British Isles driven by wind stress and atmospheric pressure distributions derived from the Meteorological Office’s fine mesh 10-level weather prediction model (Burridge and Gadd 1977). Operating twice a day during the months of September to April it gives predictions of developing surges up to about 30 h ahead.
KeywordsStorm Surge Surge Elevation Thames Estuary Meteorological Analysis Fore Cast
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