Safely Reducing Delays Due to Adverse Terminal Weather
This paper focuses on assessing how much of the $ 3B (US) per year in adverse terminal weather delays is “avoidable” and which Air Traffic Management (ATM) investment options would be most effective in eliminating the delay. We propose that such delay can be modeled as a combination of delays due to two mechanisms: one which is “linear” in terms of the impact of key variables and the other is a nonlinear queuing model. We then consider various options for reducing the delay in the context of these models, with the prime objective being to point out where the greatest opportunities exist for delay reduction. We also make suggestions for better assessing the potential benefits of the various ATM options.
KeywordsWeather Event Effective Capacity American Meteorological Society Terminal Area Effective Duration
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