Abstract
A finite sequence of independent binomial variables is considered for which the null hypothesis of homogeneity is to be tested against the alternative hypotheses of one or two change-points, respectively. The tests are based on the likelihood ratio statistic or on an approximate linearization of the log likelihood ratio statistic. This yields scan type or cusum statistics in a discrete situation. At the same time maximum likelihood or approximate maximum likelihood estimates of the locations of the change-points are derived. For the problem with two change-points — corresponding to the detection of a cluster in time — we distinguish between the cases with a fixed and a variable distance of the two points. Under the null hypothesis exact upper bounds for the upper tails are derived. In the special case of Bernoulli variables these bounds are considerably simplified.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
FU, Y.X. and CURNOW, R. N. (1990): Locating a Changed Segment in a Sequence of Bernoulli Variables. Biometrika, 77, 295–304.
GLAZ, J. and NAUS, J.I. (1991): Tight Bounds and Approximations for Scan Statistic Probabilities for Discrete Data. Annals of Applied Probability, 1, 306–318.
HINKLEY, D.V. and HINKLEY, E.A. (1970). Inference about the Change-point in a Sequence of Binomial Variables. Biometrika, 57, 477–488.
HORVTH, J. (1989): The Limit Distributions of the Likelihood Ratio and Cumulative Sum Tests for a Change in a Binomial Probability. Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 31, 148–159.
KRAUTH, J. (1992): Bounds for the tail-probabilities of the linear ratchet scan statistic. In: M. Schader (ed.): Analyzing and Modeling Data and Knowledge. Springer, Heidelberg, 51–61.
KRAUTH, J. (1998): Upper bounds for the P-values of a scan statistic with a variable window. In: I. Balderjahn, R. Mathar and M. Schader (eds.): Classification, Data Analysis, and Data Highways. Springer, Heidelberg, 155–163.
LEVIN, B. and KLINE, J. (1985): The Cusum Test of Homogeneity with an Application in Spontaneous Abortion Epidemiology. Statistics in Medicine, 4, 469–488.
LOMBARD, F. (1987): Rank Tests for Changepoint Problems. Biometrika, 74, 615–624.
McGILCHRIST, C.A. and WOODYER, K.D. (1975): Note on a Distribution-free CUSUM Technique. Technometrics, 17, 321–325.
Pettitt, A.N. (1979): A Non-parametric Approach to the Change-point Problem. Applied Statistics, 28, 126–135.
PETTITT, A.N. (1980): A Simple Cumulative Sum Type Statistic for the Change-point Problem with Zero-one Observations. Biometrika, 67, 79–84.
WALLENSTEIN, S., NAUS, J. and GLAZ, J. (1994): Powers of the Scan Statistic in Detecting a Changed Segment in a Bernoulli Sequence. Biometrika, 81, 595–601.
WEINSTOCK, M. A. (1981): A Generalized Scan Statistic Test for the Detection of Clusters. International Journal of Epidemiology, 10, 289–293.
WORSLEY, K.J. (1983): The Power of Likelihood Ratio and Cumulative Sum Tests for a Change in a Binomial Probability. Biometrika, 70, 455–464.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1999 Springer-Verlag Berlin · Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Krauth, J. (1999). Discrete Scan Statistics for Detecting Change-points in Binomial Sequences. In: Gaul, W., Locarek-Junge, H. (eds) Classification in the Information Age. Studies in Classification, Data Analysis, and Knowledge Organization. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-60187-3_19
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-60187-3_19
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-65855-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-60187-3
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive