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Transition to Sustainability: Italian Scenarios Towards a Low-Carbon Economy

Part of the Lecture Notes in Computer Science book series (LNPSE,volume 7991)


This paper analyzes different policies that may promote the transition to sustainability, with a particular focus on the energy sector. We present a dynamic simulation model where three different strategies for sustainability are identified: reduction in GHG emissions, improvements in energy efficiency and the development of the renewable energy sector. Our aim is to evaluate the dynamics that those strategies may produce in the economy, looking at different performance indicators: rate of growth, unemployment, fiscal position, GHG emission, and transition to renewable energy sources.


  • Energy transition
  • System dynamics
  • Scenario analysis

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  • DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-54338-8_15
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  1. 1.

    At this stage, the analysis of inequality and poverty is not included in the simulation model.

  2. 2.

    In this short paper we have no space for explicitly analyzing our analytical assumption about the impact of the investment on the three variables \(R\), \(\epsilon \) and \(\phi \).


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Correspondence to Simone D’Alessandro .

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Bernardo, G., D’Alessandro, S. (2014). Transition to Sustainability: Italian Scenarios Towards a Low-Carbon Economy. In: , et al. Information Technology and Open Source: Applications for Education, Innovation, and Sustainability. SEFM 2012. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 7991. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg.

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