Skip to main content

Optimal Economic Policy Making With an Econometric Model Using Interactive Methods of Vector Optimization

Practical Experiences for Austria

  • Conference paper
Econometric Decision Models

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems ((LNE,volume 366))

Abstract

This paper presents an evaluation of an economic policy optimization experiment using interactive methods of vector optimization. A medium sized nonlinear macroeconometric model for Austria is transformed to yield a set of linear constraints for macroeconomic policy optimization using a set of mainly fiscal and monetary instruments. To assess the practical impact of different methods and their implementation to support macroeconomic decision making, four techniques of vector optimization have been tested with participants in an experimental economic planning problem for the year 1989. The techniques based on linear programming are applied interactively and differ from each other in the information requirements and the conduct of the interaction. We consider the Step-Method (Benayoun et al. (1971)), Interactive Multiple Goal Programming (Spronk (1981)), a method proposed by Zionts and Wallenius (1976) — all contained in the optimization program IAO — together with the reference point approach, implemented in DIDAS (developed and provided to us by the International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg). People involved in practical economic policy decision making for Austria have been invited to participate in the experiment. Among them were members of the chamber of commerce, the ministry of finance, the national bank and members of the national council. A survey of the results achieved and a critical comparative evaluation is presented.

We would like to thank M. Luptáčik and P. Müller for discussion and J. Gruber for helpful comments to improve the paper.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Ancot J. P., A. J. Hughes Hallett, J. H. P. Paelinck, The determination of implicit preferences — Possible approaches compared, European Economic Review 18 (1982), 267–289.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ancot J. P., A. J. Hughes Hallett, Collective preferences in economic decision models: With an application to Soviet economic policy, in “Gruber, J. (ed.), Econometric Decision Models,” Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, Vol. 208, Springer-Verlag, 1983, pp. 263–304.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Benayoun R., J. de Montgolfier, J. Tergny, O. Larichev, Linear programming with multiple objective functions: Step method (STEM), Mathematical Programming 1 (3) (1971), 366–375.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brandner P., Interaktive Verfahren für Optimierungsprobleme bei mehrfacher Zielsetzungeine Anwendung in der Wirtschaftspolitik, Master Thesis, Institute for Econometrics and Operations Research, University of Technology, Vienna (1984).

    Google Scholar 

  • Brandner P., Interaktive Vektoroptimierung zur Unterstützung der Entscheidungsfindung in der Wirtschaftspolitik, mimeo, Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna (1985).

    Google Scholar 

  • Brandner P., B. Böhm, Interactive Optimization. Manual for the IA0-Program Package, Research Report No. 95, Institute for Econometrics and Operations Research, University of Technology, Vienna (1989).

    Google Scholar 

  • Brockhoff K., Experimental test of MODM algorithms in a modular approach, European Journal of Operational Research 22 (1985), 159–166.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Buchanan J. T., H. G. Daellenbach, A comperative evaluation of interactive solution methods for multiple objective decision models, European Journal of Operational Research 29 (1987), 353–359.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chow G. C., “Analysis and Control of Dynamic Economic Systems,” Wiley, New York, 1975.

    Google Scholar 

  • Deissenberg C., Interactive solution of multiple objective dynamic, macroeconomic stabilization problems. A comparative study, in “Gruber, J. (ed.), Econometric Decision Models,” Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems Vol. 208, Springer-Verlag, 1983, pp. 305–309.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Despontin M., Regional multiple objective quantitative economic policy: a Belgian model, European Journal of Operational Research 10 (1982), 82–89.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Despontin M., J. Moscarola, J. Spronk, A User-oriented listing of multiple criteria decision methods, The Belgian Journal of Statistics, Computer Science and Operation Research 23 (4) (1983).

    Google Scholar 

  • Despontin M., P. Nijkamp, J. Spronk, “Macro-Economic Planning with Conflicting Goals,” Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems Vol. 230, Springer-Verlag, 1984.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Friedman B. M., “Economic Stabilization Policy: Methods in Optimization,” North Holland, 1975.

    Google Scholar 

  • Frisch R., Numerical determination of a quadratic preference function for use in macro-economic programming, Giornale Degli Economisti a Annali Di Economia (1961).

    Google Scholar 

  • Frisch R., “Economic Planning Studies,” International Studies in Economics and Econometrics Vol. 8, edited by F. Long, D. Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht, 1976.

    Google Scholar 

  • Grauer M., A. P. Wierzbicki, “Interactive Decision Analysis,” Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems Vol. 229, Springer-Verlag, 1984.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Gruber J. (ed.), “Econometric Decision Models,” Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems Vol. 208, Springer-Verlag, 1983.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gruber, J., Interactive vector optimization as a complement to optimal control in econometric models, chapter 5, in “C. Carraro and D. Sartore (eds.), Developments of Control Theory for Economic Analysis,” Martinus Nijhoff Publishers, Dordrecht, 1987, pp. 63–82.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Hendry D. F., “The Econometrics of PC-GIVE,” Version 5.0, Oxford, 1987.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hendry D. F., A. R. Pagan, J. D. Sargan, Dynamic specification, chapter 18, in “Z. Griliches and M.D. Intriligator (eds.), Handbook of Econometrics Vol. II,” Amsterdam, 1986, pp. 1025–1100.

    Google Scholar 

  • Holly S., B. Rüstern, M. Zarrop (eds.), “Optimal Control for Econometric Models: An Approach to Economic Policy Formation,” Macmillan, London, 1979.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hughes Hallett A., “Applied Decision Analysis and Economic Behaviour,” Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics 3, Martinus Nijhoff Publishers, Dordrecht, 1984.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Hughes Hallett A., H. Rees, “Quantitative Economic Policies and Interactive Planning,” Cambridge University Press, 1983.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hwang C. L., A. S. M. Masud, “Multiple Objective Decision Making — Methods and Applications. A State-of-the-Art Survey,” Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems Vol. 164, Springer-Verlag, 1979.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Johansen L., Establishing preference functions for macroeconomic decision models, European Economic Review 5 (1974), 41–66.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Müller P., Interactive Multiple Goal Programming (Pascal-Programm), Master Thesis, Institute for Econometrics and Operations Research, University of Technology, Vienna (1985).

    Google Scholar 

  • Olbrisch, M., “Das interaktive Referenzpunktverfahren als Lösungsmöglichkeit ökonometrischer Entscheidungsmodelle — Darstellung und Einordnung der Theorie und praktische Anwendungen,” Bochumer Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Studien Nr. 121, Studienverlag Brockmeyer, Bochum, 1988.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pitchford J. D., S. J. Turnovsky (eds.), “Application of Control Theory to Economic Analysis,” North Holland, Amsterdam, 1977.

    Google Scholar 

  • Preston A. J., A dynamic generalization of Tinbergen’s theory of policy, Review of Economic Studies 41 (1) (1974), 65–74.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Preston A. J., Existence, uniqueness and stability of linear optimal stabilisation policies, in “J. D. Pitchford, S.J. Turnovsky (eds.), Application of Control Theory to Economic Analysis,” North Holland, Amsterdam, 1977, pp. 255–292.

    Google Scholar 

  • Preston A. J., A. R. Pagan, “The Theory of Economic Policy,” Cambridge University Press, 1982.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Preston A. J., E. Sieper, Policy objectives and instrument requirements for a dynamic theory of policy, in “J. D. Pitchford, S. J. Turnovsky (eds.), Application of Control Theory to Economic Analysis,” North Holland, Amsterdam, 1977, pp. 215–254.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rogowski T., J. Sobczyk, A. P. Wierzbicki, IAC-DIDAS-L Dynamic Interactive Decision Analysis and support System Linear Version, Working Paper WP-88–110, IIASA, Laxenburg (1988).

    Google Scholar 

  • Russel C. S., V. K. Smith, Targets, instruments and generalized inverses, European Economic Review 6 (1975), 143–153.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Spronk J., “Interactive Multiple Goal Programming for Capital Budgeting and Financial Planning,” Martinus Nijhoff Publishing, Boston, 1981.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Streuff, H., J. Gruber, The interactive multiobjective optimization method by Elemer E. Rosinger: A computer program and Aspects of Applications, in “Gruber, J. (ed.), Econometric Decision Models,” Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems Vol. 208, Springer-Verlag, 1983, pp. 334–364.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Theil H., “Optimal Decision Rules for Government and Industry,” North Holland, 1964.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tinbergen J., “On the Theory of Economic Policy,” North Holland, 1952.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tinbergen J., “Economic Policy, Principles and Design,” North Holland, 1956.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wallenius H., Optimizing macroeconomic policy: A review of approaches and applications, European Journal of Operations Research 10 (1982), 221–228.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wallenius J., Comparative evaluation of some interactive approaches to multicriteria optimization, Management Science 21 (1975), 1387–1396.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zionts S., J. Wallenius, An interactive programming method for solving the multiple criteria problem, Management Science 22 (6) (1976), 652–663.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zionts S., J. Wallenius, An interactive multiple linear programming method for a class of underlying nonlinear utility functions, Management Science 29 (5) (1953), 519–529.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1991 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Böhm, B., Brandner, P. (1991). Optimal Economic Policy Making With an Econometric Model Using Interactive Methods of Vector Optimization. In: Gruber, J. (eds) Econometric Decision Models. Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, vol 366. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-51675-7_10

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-51675-7_10

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-54373-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-51675-7

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics