Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

Towards a Probabilistic Analysis of MYCIN-like Expert Systems (Working Paper)

  • Conference paper
Compstat

Abstract

A formal apparatus is developed here for the study of the compatibility of MYCIN-like expert systems with axioms of probability theory. Some partial results are presented; but the main stress is on open problems.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Log in via an institution
Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. S. Asmussen, D. Edwards: Collapsibility and response variables in contingency tables, Biometrika 70 (1983) 567–578

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  2. R. Duda, P. Hart, N. Nilsson: Subjective bayesian methods for rude-based expert systems, SRI International, Technical note 124, Stanford 1976

    Google Scholar 

  3. P. Hájek: Combining functions for ceratinty factors in consulting systems, Int. Journ. Man-Machine Studies 22 (1985), 59–67

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  4. P. Hàjek: Combining functions in consulting systems and dependence of premisses — a remark, (Plander, ed.) Aritificial Intelligence and Information — Control Systems of Robots, North-Holland 1984, 163–166

    Google Scholar 

  5. P. Hájek, T. Havránek: A note on the independence assumption underlying subjective bayesian updating, (Plander, ed.) Artificial Intelligence and Information -Control Systems of Robots, North-Holland 1987

    Google Scholar 

  6. P. Hájek, J. Valdes: Algebraic foundations of uncertainty processing in rule-based expert systems, submitted (also: Preprint of the Matematical Institute, ČSAV, Prague 1987)

    Google Scholar 

  7. D. Heckerman: Probabilistic interpretations of MYCIN’S certainty factors, (Kanal and Lemmer, eds.) Uncertainty in Aritificial Intelligence, North-Holland 1986, 167–196

    Google Scholar 

  8. R. W. Johnsson: Independence and Bayesian updating methods, (Kanal and Lemmer, eds.) Uncertainty in Aritificial Intelligence, North-Holland 1986, 197–201

    Google Scholar 

  9. S. L. Lauritzen, D. J. Spiegelhalter. Local computations with probabilities on graphical structures and their application to expert systems, J. R. Statist. Soc. B 50 (1988) No. 2

    Google Scholar 

  10. D. Luce: On the numerical representation of qualitative coinditional probabilities, Annals Math. Stat. 39 (1968) 481–491

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  11. E. P. D. Pednault, S. W. Zucker, L. V. Muresan: On the independence assumption underlying subjective Bayesian updating, Artificial Intelligence 16 (1981) 215–222

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  12. D. Scott: Measurement structures and linear inequalities, J. Math. Psychology 1 (1964) 232–240

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Prague, Czech Republic

    P. Hájek

Authors
  1. P. Hájek
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Clinical Research Department, NOVO, Novo Allé 9Q, DK-2880, Bagsværd, Denmark

    David Edwards

  2. Danish Computing Centre for Research and Education, UNI-C, Vermundsgade 5, DK-2100, Copenhagen Ø, Denmark

    Niels E. Raun

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1988 Physica-Verlag Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Hájek, P. (1988). Towards a Probabilistic Analysis of MYCIN-like Expert Systems (Working Paper). In: Edwards, D., Raun, N.E. (eds) Compstat. Physica-Verlag HD. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-46900-8_14

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-46900-8_14

  • Publisher Name: Physica-Verlag HD

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-7908-0411-9

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-46900-8

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics

Search

Navigation