Countermeasures Selection via Evidence Theory
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In this paper an approach to understand the possible causes of outages in different and interconnected infrastructures, based on the evidences of detected failures is provided. Moreover, causes inferred are used to estimate possible not detected failures that, together with those detected, allow to better understand the infrastructure vulnerability and the impact of outages. Such a kind of analysis is regarded as a useful support to identify effective countermeasures, in order to mitigate risks related to malfunctioning behavior of critical infrastructures.
KeywordsCritical-Infrastructures Interdependency Modelling Evidence Theory Situation Awareness Risk Assessment
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