Skip to main content

War, Peace and Economic Growth: The Phoenix Factor Reexamined

  • Chapter
  • First Online:

Abstract

The effect that war has on the economy has long been investigated. However the results of investigations do not provide conclusive answers. The ‘War destruction view’ argues that war has a negative effect as war distorts the economy and destruct resources. The ‘War construction view’ argues that war has a positive effect as war improves efficiency in economy and facilitates technological innovation by destroying the existing political structures and economic facilities. We propose a new and promising explanation of what happens to the economy following war: the course of the postwar economy is a consequence of the industrial technology accumulated and the cultivation of engineers during the war. We investigate this explanation for nations involved in World War II during the period 1950–1960 by utilizing econometric models. We find that the technological strength and industrial production capability that a nation accumulated during the war is an important factor for economic growth.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD   109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    http://www.populstat.info

References

  • Abramovitz M (1986) Catching up, forging ahead, and falling behind. J Econ Hist 46:385–406

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barro RJ, Lee J-W (1994) Sources of economic growth. Carnegie-Rochester Conf Ser Public Policy 40:1–46

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barro RJ, Lee JW (2010) A new data set of educational attainment in the world, 1950–2010 (BER Working Paper No 15902)

    Google Scholar 

  • Clodfelter M (2002) Warfare and armed conflicts : a statistical reference to casualty and other figures, 1500–2000, 2nd edn. McFarland, Jefferson

    Google Scholar 

  • Durlauf SN, Johnson PA, Temple JRW, Philippe A, Steven ND (2005) Chapter 8. Growth Econometrics in Philippe A, Steven ND (Eds.) Handbook of Economic Growth. Elsevier, Amsterdam

    Google Scholar 

  • Gordon RJ (2000) Does the “New Economy” measure up to the great inventions of the past? J Econ Perspect 14:49–74

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Harrison M (1998) The economics of world war II: six great powers in international comparison. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Higgs R (2004) Wartime socialization of investment: a reassessment of U.S. capital formation in the 1940s. J Econ Hist 64:500–520

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kang S, Meernik J (2005) Civil war destruction and the prospects for economic growth. J Politics 67:88–109

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kim TY, Heshmati A, Park J (2009) The faster accelerating knowledge-based society. TEMEP Discussion Paper No 2009:13

    Google Scholar 

  • Kim T-Y, Heshmati A, Park J (2010a) Decelerating agricultural society: theoretical and historical perspectives. Technol Forecast Soc Change 77:479–499

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kim T, Kim S, Lee J (2010b) The gene of an accelerating industrial society: expansive reproduction, TEMEP Discussion Paper No 2010:50

    Google Scholar 

  • Koubi V (2005) War and economic performance. J Peace Res 42:67–82

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kugler J, Arbetman M (1989) Exploring the “phoenix factor” with the collective goods perspective. J Confl Resolut 33:84–112

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mitchell BR (1980) European historical statistics 1750 1975. Fact on File, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Murdoch JC, Sandler T (2002) Economic growth, civil wars, and spatial spillovers. J Confl Resolut 46:91–110

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Olson M (1982) The rise and decline of nations. Yale University Press, New Haven

    Google Scholar 

  • Organski AFK, Kugler J (1977) The costs of major wars: the phoenix factor. Am Polit Sci Rev 71:1347–1366

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ray JL (2003) Explaining interstate conflict and war: what should be controlled for? Confl Manag Peace Sci 20:1–31

    Google Scholar 

  • Ray JL (2005) Constructing multivariate analyses (of dangerous dyads). Confl Manag Peace Sci 22:277–292

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Smolny W (2000) Post-war growth, productivity convergence and reconstruction. Oxf Bull Econ Stat 62:589–606

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Spiezio KE (1990) British hegemony and major power war, 1815–1939: an empirical test of Gilpin’s model of hegemonic governance. Int Stud Q 34:165–181

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Summers R, Heston A (1991) The Penn world table (mark 5): an expanded set of international comparisons, 1950–1988. Q J Econ 106:327–368

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thorp WL (1941) Postwar depressions. Am Econ Rev 30:352–361

    Google Scholar 

  • Wallace MD (1971) Power, status, and international war. J Peace Res 8(23):35

    Google Scholar 

  • Wright CW (1943) The more enduring economic consequences of America’s wars. J Econ Hist 3:9–26

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Tai-Yoo Kim .

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2014 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Kim, TY., Jeong, G., Lee, J. (2014). War, Peace and Economic Growth: The Phoenix Factor Reexamined. In: Economic Growth. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-40826-7_8

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-40826-7_8

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-40825-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-40826-7

  • eBook Packages: Business and EconomicsEconomics and Finance (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics