Skip to main content

A Fast EM Algorithm for Fitting Marked Markovian Arrival Processes with a New Special Structure

  • Conference paper
Computer Performance Engineering (EPEW 2013)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNPSE,volume 8168))

Included in the following conference series:

Abstract

This paper presents an EM algorithm for fitting traces with Markovian arrival processes (MAPs). The proposed algorithm operates on a special subclass of MAPs. This special structure enables the efficient implementation of the EM algorithm; it is more orders of magnitudes faster than methods operating on the general MAP class while providing similar or better likelihood values. An other important feature of the algorithm is that it is able to fit multi-class traces with marked Markovian arrival processes as well. Several numerical examples demonstrate the efficiency of the procedure.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Anderson, T.W., Goodman, L.A.: Statistical inference about Markov chains. The Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 89–110 (1957)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Asmussen, S., Nerman, O., Olsson, M.: Fitting phase-type distributions via the EM algorithm. Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, 419–441 (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Bause, F., Horváth, G.: Fitting Markovian Arrival Processes by Incorporating Correlation into Phase Type Renewal Processes. In: 2010 Seventh International Conference on the Quantitative Evaluation of Systems (QEST), pp. 97–106. IEEE (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Breuer, L.: An EM algorithm for batch Markovian arrival processes and its comparison to a simpler estimation procedure. Annals of Operations Research 112(1-4), 123–138 (2002)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  5. Buchholz, P.: An EM-algorithm for MAP fitting from real traffic data. In: Kemper, P., Sanders, W.H. (eds.) TOOLS 2003. LNCS, vol. 2794, pp. 218–236. Springer, Heidelberg (2003)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  6. Buchholz, P., Kemper, P., Kriege, J.: Multi-class Markovian arrival processes and their parameter fitting. Performance Evaluation 67(11), 1092–1106 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Buchholz, P., Kriege, J.: A heuristic approach for fitting MAPs to moments and joint moments. In: Sixth International Conference on the Quantitative Evaluation of Systems, QEST 2009, pp. 53–62. IEEE (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Casale, G., Zhang, E.Z., Smirni, E.: KPC-toolbox: Simple yet effective trace fitting using Markovian arrival processes. In: Fifth International Conference on Quantitative Evaluation of Systems, QEST 2008, pp. 83–92. IEEE (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Dempster, A.P., Laird, N.M., Rubin, D.B.: Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the EM algorithm. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B (Methodological), 1–38 (1977)

    Google Scholar 

  10. El Abdouni Khayari, R., Sadre, R., Haverkort, B.R.: Fitting world-wide web request traces with the EM-algorithm. Performance Evaluation 52(2), 175–191 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. He, Q., Neuts, M.F.: Markov chains with marked transitions. Stochastic Processes and their Applications 74, 37–52 (1998)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  12. Horváth, A., Horváth, G., Telek, M.: A traffic based decomposition of two-class queueing networks with priority service. Computer Networks 53(8), 1235–1248 (2009)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  13. Horváth, G., Buchholz, P., Telek, M.: A MAP fitting approach with independent approximation of the inter-arrival time distribution and the lag correlation. In: Second International Conference on the Quantitative Evaluation of Systems, pp. 124–133. IEEE (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Klemm, A., Lindemann, C., Lohmann, M.: Modeling IP traffic using the batch Markovian arrival process. Performance Evaluation 54(2), 149–173 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Latouche, G., Ramaswami, V.: Introduction to matrix analytic methods in stochastic modeling. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, vol. 5 (1987)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Okamura, H., Dohi, T.: Faster maximum likelihood estimation algorithms for Markovian arrival processes. In: Sixth International Conference on the Quantitative Evaluation of Systems, QEST 2009, pp. 73–82. IEEE (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Okamura, H., Dohi, T., Trivedi, K.S.: A refined EM algorithm for PH distributions. Performance Evaluation 68(10), 938–954 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Rydén, T.: An EM algorithm for estimation in Markov-modulated Poisson processes. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis 21(4), 431–447 (1996)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  19. Telek, M., Horváth, G.: A minimal representation of Markov arrival processes and a moments matching method. Performance Evaluation 64(9), 1153–1168 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Thummler, A., Buchholz, P., Telek, M.: A novel approach for phase-type fitting with the EM algorithm. IEEE Transactions on Dependable and Secure Computing 3(3), 245–258 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Horváth, G., Okamura, H. (2013). A Fast EM Algorithm for Fitting Marked Markovian Arrival Processes with a New Special Structure. In: Balsamo, M.S., Knottenbelt, W.J., Marin, A. (eds) Computer Performance Engineering. EPEW 2013. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 8168. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-40725-3_10

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-40725-3_10

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-40724-6

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-40725-3

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics