Evaluation of Agricultural Modernization Based on Maximizing Deviation and GMDH

  • Yue He
  • Weiru Deng
  • Lili Zhang
Conference paper
Part of the Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering book series (LNEE, volume 242)


The level of agricultural modernization is an important indicator to measure agricultural development. China, a big agricultural country, always needs to pay attention to the development level in the process of promoting agricultural modernization. This paper makes an empirical analysis of the process of agricultural modernization in Sichuan Province in recent 16 years to put forward a new way to evaluate the level of agricultural modernization. At first, the maximizing deviation is used to evaluate the level of agricultural modernization, and then GMDH method is applied to determine the contribution value of the factors affecting the process of agricultural modernization. The results show that the level of agricultural modernization in Sichuan is gradually increasing. This paper also indicates that it is quite important to speed up the transfer of rural labor force and improve their cultural quality, raise the level of agricultural mechanization, increase the forest coverage as well as reduce the agricultural disasters. Only in this way can we realize agricultural modernization eventually.


Maximizing deviation GMDH Comprehensive evaluation Agricultural modernization 


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The authors acknowledge the financial support Humanities and social science planning fund project of the Ministry of education of China, project No. 11YJA630029. The author is grateful to the anonymous referee for a careful checking of the details and for helpful comments that improved this paper.


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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2014

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of Management Science and EngineeringBusiness School of Sichuan UniversityChengduPeople’s Republic of China

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