Abstract
Global change in river basins can be anticipated by using downscaled scenarios. This approach is introduced in this chapter, and it is argued that scenarios are a well-developed and suitable tool to explore the uncertain bandwidth of the future states of river basins, their rivers and occupant societies. Quantitative and qualitative scenario exercises are introduced and a worked-out example is presented for the Scheldt river basin.
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Vermaat, J.E., Salomons, W., Gilbert, A.J., Hellmann, F.A. (2014). Downscaling Scenarios as an Exploratory Tool for River Basin Management: An Introduction. In: Brils, J., Brack, W., Müller-Grabherr, D., Négrel, P., Vermaat, J. (eds) Risk-Informed Management of European River Basins. The Handbook of Environmental Chemistry, vol 29. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-38598-8_5
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