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Seasonal and Annual Variations of Rainfall Pattern in the Jamuneswari Basin, Bangladesh

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On a Sustainable Future of the Earth's Natural Resources

Part of the book series: Springer Earth System Sciences ((SPRINGEREARTH))

Abstract

Rainfall is one of the important criteria used for objective analysis of climatic variations over time. The present study attempts to decipher the rainfall pattern in terms of seasonal and annual variations as recorded for about 43 years (1966–2008) from 15 rain gauge stations located in the Jamuneswari River Basin, Bangaladesh. Detecting trends in time series data has been the topic of research for more than three decades now. To study non-stationarity in climate data, the subject of trend detection has received even greater attention. Among all the tests used for trend detection, Mann-Kendall test and its variants remain the most widely accepted. The analysis was carried out using Mann-Kendall (MK) test of non auto-correlated rainfall series. Modified Mann-Kendall (MMK) was used in the case where significant auto-correlation was detected. The analysis was carried out on monthly, seasonal and annual basis to understand temporal variation in the last four decades. It is brought out from the present study that most of the rainfall stations have a significant decreasing trend in monthly rainfall pattern.

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Acknowledgement

The authors would like to express their gratitude to Bangladesh Water Development Board for providing the data used in the study.

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Correspondence to Asmita R. Murumkar .

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Murumkar, A.R., Arya, D.S., Rahman, M.M. (2013). Seasonal and Annual Variations of Rainfall Pattern in the Jamuneswari Basin, Bangladesh. In: Ramkumar, M. (eds) On a Sustainable Future of the Earth's Natural Resources. Springer Earth System Sciences. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-32917-3_19

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