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A Bayesian Approach to the Validation of Agent-Based Models

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Part of the book series: Intelligent Systems Reference Library ((ISRL,volume 44))

Abstract

The rapid expansion of agent-based simulation modeling has left the theory of model validation behind its practice. Much of the literature emphasizes the use of empirical data for both calibrating and validating agent-based models. But a great deal of the practical effort in developing models goes into making sense of expert opinions about a modeling domain. Here we present a unifying view which incorporates both expert opinion and data in validating models, drawing upon Bayesian philosophy of science. We illustrate this in reference to a demographic model.

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Korb, K.B., Geard, N., Dorin, A. (2013). A Bayesian Approach to the Validation of Agent-Based Models. In: Tolk, A. (eds) Ontology, Epistemology, and Teleology for Modeling and Simulation. Intelligent Systems Reference Library, vol 44. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-31140-6_14

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-31140-6_14

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-31139-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-31140-6

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